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疫情卷土重来:喜忧参半
送交者: 爪四哥 2022年04月10日15:07:49 于 [笑林之声] 发送悄悄话

先说说坏消息:

Covid-19就像是打不死的小强,野火烧不尽,春风吹又生。这不,中国疫情正如火如荼,大洋彼岸的美国也在劫难逃了。。。

US COVID-19 cases to jump 64% in 2 weeks, Mayo projects

Daily COVID-19 cases are projected to increase 64.5 percent over the next two weeks as the omicron subvariant BA.2 continues to spread nationwide, modeling from Rochester, Minn.-based Mayo Clinic shows.

Forecasting suggests the nation's daily average cases will jump from 22,748.7 on April 3 to 37,419 by April 17. The nation's case rate is also expected to increase from 8.8 cases per 100,000 population to 11.4 per 100,000 over the same time period.

The projections coincide with BA.2's gaining prevalence in the U.S. The subvariant accounted for about 55 percent of new COVID-19 cases nationwide in the week ending March 26, according to the latest variant proportion estimates from the CDC.

Two more forecasts to know:

Hospitalizations: Daily COVID-19 hospital admissions are projected to fall nationwide over the next four weeks, with 300 to 3,500 new admissions likely reported on April 22, according to the CDC's ensemble forecast from 15 modeling groups. For context, the seven-day average of new COVID-19 hospitalizations for March 23-29 was 1,564, a 15.8 percent decrease from the previous week's average.

Deaths: U.S. COVID-19 deaths will also decline over the next month, according to the CDC's ensemble forecast from 24 modeling groups. The forecast projects 1,300 to 3,600 deaths likely reported in the week ending April 23, which would bring the nation's total COVID-19 death tally to a range of 986,000 to 994,000 deaths.

The CDC said its ensemble forecasts are among the most reliable for COVID-19 modeling, but they cannot predict rapid changes in cases, hospitalizations or deaths. Therefore, they should not be relied on "for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends," the agency said.

Note: Mayo Clinic uses a Bayesian statistical model to forecast cases that automatically updates as new data becomes available. There is an uncertainty interval for forecast values, with lower and upper bounds that are not included in this list. To learn more about the data Mayo Clinic uses to forecast hot spots, click here. Becker's pulled the forecast values April 4 at 8:30 a.m. CST.

不过,令人幸庆的是:新一轮的疫情反扑,住院率与死亡率都呈现下降趋势。也就是说,只要打过疫苗,注意预防,即使被感染,也会是轻症。换句话说,就相当于得了一场感冒,而已。

再说说好消息:

美国最新COVID防治策略,—步到位服务--One stop service !

美国刚刚推出的COVID.gov 网站还有一个非常便民的服务。通过这个网站,民众可以搜索附近的一条龙服务药房,去那里做快速检测。如是阳性,且你具有高危因素, 药房当即就开处方给你配药,你可以拿上五天疗程的辉瑞Plaxlovid带回家自行服用,无需去医院或诊所看病,更不需隔离。全部费用由联邦政府买单,患者不需花费1分钱。目前加入了这个一条龙服务的有CVS, Walgreens, 和Walmart.

感谢人民政府,感谢伟大光荣正确的民主党,感谢资本主义制度优越性 !

所以,面对新一轮的疫情,只要打了疫苗,即使阳了还有政府买单,真没啥可怕。

马照骑,

舞照跳,

牛照吹,

春照叫。

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