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Taiwan Independent Activists Should Be Disillusioned Now!
送交者: WishUBest 2007年09月20日00:00:00 於 [史地人物] 發送悄悄話

China's unification war over Taiwan is eminent. Some pro-independence enthusiates are still resting their hopes in the US. Here, I must point out their illusions and advice them to pick a bright way for surrender (To surrender to one's own country is not a shame). Please see the following possibilities:

(1) It is not possible for the US to get an overall involvement.
The most recent in????ation from the United Nations Assembly states that Taiwan is a part of China. If the US interferes vigorously, he may be considered to violate the UN decision.

If the US does involve with large scales, the results will be hurting both the US and China seriously. The US and China, after the war will be both ruined. The whole situation of the world, including politics, economics, military as well as invironment must be changed. This doesn't even include a nuclear war. If a neclear war breaks out, in additional to the annihilations of the two countries, the whole world will not be suitable to live any more for all human beings.
So, Only the fools would do so.

(2) A limited involvement.
For such an involvement, the failed side must be the US. China's military strengh today can match the forces of the whole Pacific fleets of the US. But the war theatre is in Asia, China has the upper hand on georgraphy. When the US Pacific fleets is defeated, the dignity of the US in international society will be totally gone down to the drain. Furthermore, American interior public absolutely won't support such a war for Taiwan.

(3) A nominal involvement.
Any wise man can see the US may just involve nominally in the Taiwan war with China. There are too many reasons to mention about this. For a simplest example, when one of Taiwan or China must be downfalled, China's downfall hurts the US much more serious than that of Taiwan.
So the US involvement may very possibly be nominal.

There is still one more factor that hindering the US involvement of the Taiwan problems. That is the Russia. When the US fights desperately with China, Russia is the one who can benefit from all, which is seriously not to the US's advantages. American faces more challenges from Russia than that from China today!

So, of all the above mentions choices, what would the US choose? Please be disillusioned folks!

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