刺蝟與狐狸的隱喻，交互共生的智慧

熱戰、冷戰、又熱戰，低效、高耗、泛特權的當今世界，川普與馬斯克，在世界政壇與高科的橫空出世，面臨兩大世界性的挑戰：一是讓踐踏生命的世界實現和平，一是讓低效高耗不公平的Trust（企業或政府）組織降本賦能！

那麼，不妨把“實現和平與降本賦能”，稱之為川普與馬斯克的“雙戰”。

既然是“雙戰”，就需要動態平衡目標與能力的戰略、戰術，策略、謀略。也就是說，無論“和平，是打出來的，還是談出來的？”，抑或“降本賦能，是狐狸好，還是刺蝟好？”，這並是簡單的二分法選擇題！

任何一根筋思維，無論是如“狐狸多知”，還是若“刺蝟有一大知”，都不足以應對兩大世界性的挑戰，甚至可能一招不慎，功敗垂成，結果“一如彈指間登上至尊之位，又電光火石間重回卑微”！

所以，我冒昧地請求川普先生和馬斯克先生，不要低估更不必再攻擊，拜登過去四年在國際國內政治中象狐狸般狡猾，也不要過高估計自身超級英雄般的進擊能量，把自己現任做的事與前任比較，不合適，還會引發不必要的麻煩，完全沒有必要。

因為，狐狸式思維善於歸納各種不同信息，重視環境的變化和對自身能力的評估，而不是僅依據“宏偉理想”進行推導（哪怕藉助AI算法），但往往模糊了目標和焦點，坐失良機；刺蝟式思維則恰恰相反，重視目標的單一性和純粹性（直接利用AI算力），而忽視多重策略的配合，且往往拒絕批判和反思，一根筋地沉浸在自己先入為主的觀念里。“大選結束了，勝利者必須承擔國家的全部責任！”（《MAGA 2.0：從保護主義到全球共生戰略》http://symbiosism.com.cn/9429.html，驚聞對加拿大關稅戰開打，作於2月3日新加坡-大阪航班）。

既然是“全部責任”，那就必須清楚：狐狸式思維與刺蝟式思維各自有各自的優長與短板，唯有二者交互共生（Intersubjective Symbiosism）——把刺蝟的方向感和狐狸對環境的敏感性結合起來，才能通過現實常識孕育踐行為成功的大戰略。

我特別要對川普總統說，我相信你有Passion、有Vision、有Mission、有Expasion，更有Action，帶領美國進入新的“黃金時代”！

如果你真的想讓“美國再次偉大”（MAGA）成為人類生活方式創新與再選擇——交互主體共生（Intersubjective Symbiosism）之域的楷模，那麼，上文我冒昧說出的“五個忠告”，可能是您完成使命，要注意的必要條件，歸結到一句話就是：神選之人，還是人，不是神，願您真正肩負起當代美國人民賦予您的總統責任，避免MAGA演變成一場悲劇和鬧劇！

把刺蝟的方向感和狐狸對環境的敏感性結合起來，才能通過現實常識孕育踐行為成功的大戰略。

Archer Hong Qian

2025年3月13日於溫哥華

The Metaphor of the Hedgehog and the Fox: The Wisdom of Intersubjective Symbiosism

Hot wars, cold wars, and then hot wars again. An inefficient, high-cost, and privilege-laden world.

In this world, Donald Trump and Elon Musk have emerged as disruptive forces in global politics and high technology, facing two monumental global challenges:

1. Achieving peace in a world that tramples on life.

2. Reducing costs and empowering efficiency in inefficient, high-cost, and unfair Trust-based organizations (corporate or governmental).

We might call these two challenges Trump and Musk’s “dual battle”.

Since this is a “dual battle,” it demands a dynamic balance between goals and capabilities, requiring strategy, tactics, planning, and wisdom. In other words, whether “peace is achieved through war or negotiation” or whether “cost reduction and empowerment should follow the thinking of a fox or a hedgehog”—these are not simple binary choices!

Any one-track mindset—whether following the fox’s knowledge of many things or the hedgehog’s mastery of one big thing—is insufficient to tackle these two global challenges. Worse still, a single misstep could lead to total failure, with success slipping away in an instant:

"One moment, ascending to the throne of supreme power, and in a flash, returning to obscurity."

A Humble Request to President Trump and Mr. Musk

Thus, I humbly request President Trump and Mr. Musk:

• Do not underestimate, nor continue attacking, President Biden’s fox-like cunning in international and domestic politics over the past four years.

• Do not overestimate your own “superhero-like” energy to charge forward.

• Avoid unnecessary comparisons between the incumbent and previous administrations, as they are inappropriate and could invite unnecessary trouble.

The Strengths and Weaknesses of the Fox and the Hedgehog

• Fox-like thinking is excellent at synthesizing diverse information, adapting to environmental changes, and assessing one's own capabilities realistically—rather than blindly pursuing “grand ideals” (even with AI-driven calculations). However, foxes often lose focus and miss opportunities.

• Hedgehog-like thinking, in contrast, is highly focused on a single, pure goal (leveraging AI computational power directly). However, it often lacks multi-strategy coordination, rejects criticism and reflection, and stubbornly clings to preconceived ideas.

As I wrote in "MAGA 2.0: From Protectionism to the Global Symbiosism Strategy" (published on February 3, during a Singapore-Osaka flight, upon hearing about Trump’s initiation of a tariff war against Canada):

"The election is over. The winner must now bear full responsibility for the nation!"
(Full article)

If "full responsibility" is the mission, then understanding the strengths and weaknesses of both fox-like and hedgehog-like thinking is essential.

Only through Intersubjective Symbiosism—combining the hedgehog’s clear sense of direction with the fox’s acute sensitivity to the environment—can realistic wisdom be translated into a truly successful grand strategy.

A Special Message to President Trump

President Trump, I believe you possess Passion, Vision, Mission, Expansion, and most importantly, Action—qualities necessary to lead America into a new “Golden Age”.

If you truly wish for “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) to become a global model for innovation and lifestyle transformation—a world of Intersubjective Symbiosism, then the five critical warnings I humbly mentioned above are essential conditions for you to fulfill your mission.

Ultimately, it all boils down to one key truth:

"A chosen leader is still human, not a deity."

I sincerely hope you will fully embrace the responsibility entrusted to you by the American people, avoiding any scenario where MAGA degenerates into either a tragedy or a farce!

Conclusion: The True Art of Leadership

Only by integrating the hedgehog’s unwavering sense of direction with the fox’s keen adaptability can true leadership emerge, cultivating wisdom that turns practical action into a winning grand strategy.

Archer Hong Qian
March 13, 2025 – Vancouver