《華爾街日報》的競猜剛剛揭曉，兄弟在總分140中只得了90分，實在慚愧啊。沒想到美國人裡面居然有如此料事如神的，能猜到"Dominic Rhodes as the running back with the most carries in the game".能拿119分的人實在太神奇了（只錯了兩道10分的小題）！總共343名競猜者中能有5人得分超過110分，這說明老美對橄欖球統計數字的感覺看來要比我們強。

=============================
Super Bowl Contest Results:
Mike Costa, Brett Lofton Win
By CARL BIALIK
February 5, 2007 4:21 p.m.

For the second straight year, 59% of Daily Fix readers who entered the Super Bowl contest picked the right winner, and their average predicted margin of victory within a point of the Super Bowl winner's margin. Of 343 readers who entered, 203 expected the Colts to win, by an average of 11.3 points. Final score: Colts 29, Bears 17. More than 48% of readers correctly picked Colts quarterback Peyton Manning as the game's MVP.

Mike Costa was the overall winner, with 119 points. He picked the Colts by 11 and got nearly every other question right, including identifying Dominic Rhodes as the running back with the most carries in the game.

Brett Lofton finished right behind, with 117 points. He picked the Colts to win by 12 and expected the teams to combine to score 49 points, earning 67 of 70 available points for the first three questions.

Joining Messrs. Costa and Lofton in the annex to the Fix skybox of champions are the other three readers with more than 110 points: Robert Mullarkey, Ward Cullum and William Krieger.

Here are the contest's complete results:

1. Who will win the game?
Colts 203; Bears 140
Right answer: Colts

2. By how much?
Those who picked the Colts: Average of 11.3 points (range: 2 to 35)
Bears: 7.4 points (range: 1 to 28)
Right answer: Colts by 12

Winners Ward Cullum and Brett Lofton, and also Ron Bibler and Stephen Shewmaker, picked the Colts by 12.

3. How many points will the teams combine to score?
Those who picked the Colts: Average of 48.4 points (range: 21 to 73)
Bears: 46.5 points (range: 24 to 87)
Right answer: 46

Austin Johnsen and Sean McNicholas were the only readers to guess 46, an improbable combined score made possible by the Colts' botched extra-point attempt in the first quarter.

Nearly one in seven readers picked an impossible combination -- either an odd number of points in the margin coupled with an even number of total points, or vice versa. Don't believe an odd/even answer combination for Nos. 2 and 3 is impossible? Try one yourself.

4. Which team will go for it (not kick) on more fourth downs?
Bears 190; Colts 150; none 3
Right answer: Colts or Bears

The three readers who guessed none were in good shape until halfway through the fourth quarter. From that point on, both teams tried, and failed, once on fourth down. As reader Ron Bibler predicted, "Indy will go ... because they want to, and Chicago will be doing it in the fourth quarter because they'll have to."

Just 107 people thought the same team that won would go for it more on fourth down.

5. Which running back -- among Cedric Benson, Thomas Jones, Dominic Rhodes and Joseph Addai -- will get the most carries?
Jones 169; Addai 109; Benson 49; Rhodes 16
Right answer: Rhodes

Addai had the most touches, with 29, but 10 of those were on receptions, so Rhodes gets the nod with 21, for 113 yards. It was more carries and more yards than he'd had in a game in over five years1.

6. Which quarterback, Peyton Manning or Rex Grossman, will be responsible for more turnovers? (We'll count interceptions and fumbles lost.)
Grossman 207; Manning 135; none 1
Right answer: Grossman

Manning and Grossman both lost fumbles, but Grossman won this dubious category by throwing two interceptions to Manning's one. For both QBs it was a reversion to regular-season form: Manning had thrown six interceptions in the Colts' three prior playoff games, after tossing just nine in the regular season, while Grossman had thrown 20 picks in the regular season but just one in the Bears' two conference playoff games.

7. Which player will gain the most yards from scrimmage (rushing and catching; not passing or returning kicks or turnovers) in the fourth quarter?
Joseph Addai 66; Thomas Jones 64; Marvin Harrison 52; Reggie Wayne 43; Cedric Benson, Dallas Clark 23; Bernard Berrian 22; Muhsin Muhammad, Dominic Rhodes 16; Desmond Clark, Rashied Davis 4; Peyton Manning 3; Rex Grossman 2; Mark Bradley, Bob Sanders, Ben Utecht 1
Right answer: Desmond Clark

Desmond Clark had all six of his catches for 64 yards in the fourth quarter. Thomas Jones was next with 43 yards on rushes and catches, while Dominic Rhodes helped eat the clock by gaining 38 yards. David Bartlett, Jason Ruter, Chris Taylor and Bob Trost picked Desmond Clark.

8. Which player will make more tackles, Brian Urlacher or Cato June?
Urlacher 280; June 63
Right answer: Urlacher

Urlacher had 10 tackles to June's 7. Of course, the Bears had lots more chances to tackle, as the Colts ran 33 more plays. Chicago outside linebacker Lance Briggs led all tacklers with 13.

9. Who will be named the game's Most Valuable Player?
Peyton Manning 166; Thomas Jones 42; Brian Urlacher 35; Rex Grossman 31; Marvin Harrison 11; Joseph Addai 10; Devin Hester 9; Bernard Berrian, Reggie Wayne 7; Adam Vinatieri 6; Cedric Benson 4; Robbie Gould, Muhsin Muhammad 3; Lance Briggs, Ricky Manning, Bob Sanders 2; Dallas Clark, Tank Johnson, Nathan Vasher 1
Right answer: Peyton Manning

Joseph Addai (143 combined yards rushing and receiving) or Dominic Rhodes (121 yards combined but picked by no readers) would also have been worthy winners.

10. Which team will attempt more field goals?
Colts 186; Bears 156
Right answer: Colts

Of all readers, 57% thought the winning team would go for more field goals, while 59% thought that the team that went for more field goals would go for it less on fourth down, which makes sense, as field goal is usually a fourth-down option. Vinatieri hit three of four field goals for the Colts, giving him 49 points in the playoffs this year and seven career Super Bowl field goals.