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TYLER ROGOWAYView Tyler Rogoway's ArticlesAviation_Intel

China's massive Yulin Naval Base on Hainan Island is one of the greatest strategic interests in the region. It is home to China's nuclear ballistic missile submarine fleet—the backbone of its second-strike deterrent—as well as other submarines. It sits at the northern edge of the highly contentious South China Sea. To its east is the gateway to the open Pacific and Taiwan. The most intriguing feature of this facility is the mysterious submarine cave built into the side of a mountain that dominates the southern end of the installation. Although I have seen satellite images of the roadway barges removed from the opening, we have never seen one with a submarine actually using it, until now.

You can read all about Yulin Naval Base, its submarine cave, and the very high level of strategic interest the U.S. and allied regional players put on it in this past article of ours. 

The image was taken by Planet Labs, but first appeared on Radio Free Asia's social media channels. We were alerted to it via a post from @DRM_Long. Interestingly enough, not one other submarine is visible in the satellite image. The docks are completely empty. This also seems exceedingly rare based on our monitoring experience. 

PHOTO © 2020 PLANET LABS INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRINTED BY PERMISSION

The docks that usually host a number of submarines are completely empty. 

It isn't clear exactly what type of submarine is seen in the image, but our best guess would be a Shang class/Type 093 nuclear attack submarine. The type seen is really beside the point, what's important is that we finally get to see this James Bond-esque feature in action. 

As for where all the other submarines are, we have no clue. Tensions are exceedingly high in the region and the U.S. has massively upped its presence there. Meanwhile, Taiwan has gone on elevated alert as China executes war games nearby. While some of those drills could and likely do involve submarines based at Yalin, it's also possible that others have moved inside the mountain, as well. Why exactly remains unclear. 

We will update this story as more information comes available. 

Contact the author: Tyler@thedrive.com

泰勒·羅格威查看泰勒·羅格威的文章航空_英特爾

中國在海南島上建立的龐大的榆林海軍基地是該地區最大的戰略利益之一。它是中國核彈道導彈潛艇艦隊（其第二次攻擊威懾力量的支柱）以及其他潛艇的所在地。它坐落在爭議很大的南中國海的北部邊緣。東面是通向太平洋和台灣的門戶。該設施最引人入勝的特徵是神秘的海底洞穴，該洞穴建在山峰的一側，該山峰占據了該裝置的南端。儘管我看到了從開口處移開的行車駁船的衛星圖像，但到目前為止，我們還從未見過一艘實際使用潛艇的船。

您可以閱讀有關榆林海軍基地，其海底洞穴以及美國和盟國在其過去的文章中對戰略高度關注的所有內容。 

該圖像由Planet Labs拍攝，但首次出現在Free Free Asia的社交媒體頻道上。@DRM_Long的帖子通知我們。有趣的是，在衛星圖像中看不到另一艘潛艇。碼頭完全是空的。根據我們的監控經驗，這似乎也極為罕見。 

照片©2020 PLANET LABS INC。保留所有權利。由許可拒絕

通常容納許多潛艇的碼頭是完全空的。 

目前尚不清楚在圖像中看到的是哪種類型的潛艇，但我們最好的猜測是商號/ 093型核攻擊潛艇。所看到的類型確實不重要，重要的是我們終於可以看到這種詹姆斯·邦德式的功能在起作用。 

至於其他所有潛艇的位置，我們都不知道。緊張是非常高的地區和美國已經大規模調升我TS存在那裡。同時，由於中國在附近進行戰爭，台灣已提高戒備。儘管其中一些演習可能並確實涉及駐紮在亞林的潛艇，但也有可能其他演習也已移入該山中。為什麼仍然不清楚。 

隨着更多信息的出現，我們將更新此故事。 

聯繫作者：Tyler@thedrive.com

 46秒鐵軌震撼視頻鏈接：

https://twitter.com/S7i5FV0JOz6sV3A/status/1296056675217137665

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Many more punitive actions against China are coming soon, and some could disrupt important supply chains for the furniture industry, Washington, D.C., lawyer Michael Borden warned in a Home Furnishings Association webinar last week.

“Watch out,” said Borden, who leads the Government Strategies group for the global law firm Sidley Austin LLP. “I know that members of this association have international supply chains, and that’s an understatement. I’ve been told by Trump campaign officials and administration officials to expect an announcement of punitive action against China and Chinese companies every three to four days between now and Election Day.”

Borden was a panelist on the webinar with Chris Andresen, HFA’s representative in the nation’s capital. Andresen noted that taking on China will be a focus of President Donald Trump’s re-election bid.

“To the extent that the Trump campaign has a defined set of issues to go against Joe Biden, certainly the situation with China is probably number one,” Andresen said.

‘Maximum chaos and disruption’

The president’s recent actions targeting Chinese social media apps TikTok and WeChat are part of a pattern that will be repeated often before the election, Borden said.

Michael Borden

“These could be broad or they could be narrow, but they will all in the immediate term cause maximum chaos and disruption,” Borden said. “You’ve got to be really mindful that every few days there are going to be other executive orders, statements, administrative actions, regulations, impositions of sanctions, and they’re coming. They’re coming, and it’s going to be all the time, and they can be really disruptive.

“So, in addition to having to manage a pandemic, you’re going to have to manage an administration that is looking right now to punish China in every possible way – for the China virus, for the destruction of the U.S. economy, human rights, cheating on trade, intellectual property theft, everything. It’s going to almost certainly between now and November directly impact all of you. … You’re going to be hearing about supply chain issues all fall long.”

“Supply chain issues have become increasingly more difficult, particularly from that part of the world,” observed HFA Executive Director Mark Schumacher, who hosted the webinar. “That’s something that all of our members have been struggling with, small or large.”

The president will act against China

Much of the webinar conversation covered the stalled negotiations over another COVID-19 congressional relief bill. Borden expressed some hope that Republicans and Democrats might agree on some priorities in September – including the proposed RESTART Act, which HFA strongly supports. It would create a new lending program for businesses with up 5,000 employees.

But Borden said executive actions aimed at China are more certain.

“Here we are talking about COVID responses, but this is something that more likely than not is going to be like a cherry on top of problems because, even if the government is going to give you something, they’re also going to be making life more difficult,” Borden said.

Those issues already include high tariffs on most home furnishings products imported from China, Andresen added. HFA, as part of a broad business coalition, opposes those tariffs.

China is an easy target now, so it’s not likely that aggressive policies toward the Asian giant would change even if Biden is elected, Andresen said.

Biden would not reverse China orders

“I think it’s shifted Joe Biden’s longstanding positions on China and our relations with them,” Andresen said. “Even his campaign has said that he would not necessarily relieve the 301 tariffs if elected although he’s looking at it. It’s all tied into the origins of this virus.”

Borden agreed.

“Don’t think that a Biden presidency changes overnight the U.S.-China relationship,” he said. “Do you think Biden on January 20 or 21 changes executive orders that President Trump has imposed against China? No chance. Why would he politically do it? So he could be called soft on China and Republicans would have an issue for the next two years, that Joe Biden is soft on China? No way.

“So don’t expect that just because Trump is no longer in office there might be a difference in approach. There might be a more muted way, more tactful way of dealing with China, but don’t expect it to be some 180-degree reversal back to the previous order.”

Not a member of the HFA? Add your voice to ours as we push for policies that help furniture retailers. Fill out the form today!

Doug Clark

Doug is content manager and government relations staff member for the Home Furnishings Association. Please contact him with story ideas or concerns at 916-757-1167 or dclark@myhfa.org

律師邁克爾·博登（Michael Borden）上周在美國家具業協會網絡研討會上警告說，針對中國的更多懲罰性措施即將到來，有些可能會破壞家具行業的重要供應鏈。

“當心，” 負責全球律所Sidley Austin LLP的政府策略小組的Borden說。“我知道該協會的成員具有國際供應鏈，這是一種輕描淡寫的說法。特朗普競選官員和政府官員已經告訴我，預計從現在到選舉日，每三到四天將對中國和中國公司採取懲罰行動。”

博登（Borden）是與HFA駐美國首都代表克里斯·安德森（Chris Andresen）舉行的網絡研討會的專家。安德森（Andresen）指出，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）競選連任的重點將是中國。

安德森說：“就特朗普競選活動而言，與喬·拜登（Joe Biden）有一系列明確的問題，當然，與中國的局勢可能是頭等大事。”

“最大的混亂和破壞”

博登說，總統最近針對中國社交媒體應用TikTok和微信的行動是這種模式的一部分，這種模式將在選舉前經常重複。

博登說：“這些因素可能很廣泛，也可能很狹窄，但它們都將在短期內造成最大的混亂和破壞。” “您必須非常注意，每隔幾天就會有其他行政命令，聲明，行政行動，法規，制裁實施，而且這些制裁即將到來。他們來了，而且一直都在，而且它們可能確實具有破壞性。

“因此，除了必須應對大流行之外，您還必須管理一個正在以各種可能的方式懲罰中國的政府，包括對中國病毒，對美國經濟的破壞，對人權的懲罰。 ，欺詐貿易，盜竊知識產權，一切。從現在到11月幾乎肯定可以直接影響到所有人。…您將聽到有關供應鏈問題的消息都落空了。”

主持網絡研討會的HFA執行董事Mark Schumacher指出：“供應鏈問題變得越來越困難，尤其是在世界那部分地區。” “這是我們所有成員無論大小都在努力的事情。”

總統將對中國採取行動

網絡研討會的大部分討論內容都涉及就COVID-19國會救濟法案進行的停滯不前的談判。博登（Borden）表示希望共和黨和民主黨在9月達成一些優先事項，包括擬議的《重啟法案》，HFA對此表示大力支持。它將為擁有5,000名員工的企業創建一個新的貸款計劃。

但是博登說，針對中國的行政行動更加確定。

“我們在這裡談論的是COVID響應，但這很有可能像是問題上的櫻桃，因為即使政府要給你一些東西，他們也會做出努力生活更加艱難。”博登說。

這些問題已經包括從中國進口的大多數家用家具的高關稅，安德森補充說。作為廣泛商業聯盟的一部分，HFA 反對這些關稅。

安德烈森說，中國現在是一個容易的目標，因此即使拜登當選，對這家亞洲巨人的積極政策也不大可能改變。

拜登不會撤銷中國訂單

安德森說：“我認為這改變了拜登在中國以及我們與他們之間關係的長期立場。” “即使他的競選活動已經表明，儘管他正在競選，但他不一定會免除301關稅。這全都與這種病毒的起源有關。”

博登同意了。

他說：“別以為拜登總統一夜之間會改變美中關係。” “您認為拜登在1月20日或21日改變了特朗普總統對中國施加的行政命令嗎？沒有機會。他為什麼會在政治上這樣做？因此，他可以被稱為對中國情有獨鍾，而共和黨在接下來的兩年中將面臨一個問題，喬·拜登對中國情有獨鍾？沒門。

“所以不要指望僅僅因為特朗普不再上任，方法上可能會有差異。與中國打交道的方式也許更柔和，更機智，但不要指望它會逆轉180度，回到先前的順序。”

還不是HFA會員？在我們尋求有助於家具零售商的政策時，請向我們表達您的聲音。立即填寫表格！

道格·克拉克

道格（Doug）是家居裝飾協會的內容經理和政府關係工作人員。

請通過916-757-1167或dclark@myhfa.org與他聯繫，以獲取

有關故事的想法或疑慮。

https://myhfa.org/disruptive-actions-against-china-coming-speaker-tells-hfa/

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  標準德語漢諾威口音配音：

         2分17秒視頻鏈接：

https://twitter.com/NN39857782/status/1296127867013738498