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上篇文章《崩塌：當燈塔熄滅時》，我們對天下大勢，做了總體上的判斷。照例，長話短說，直奔主題，我們本文講一講，正在發生的這場大圍獵。

1、資本市場上，只有一個法則——攻擊弱者。在國際關係中，也只有一個準則——生存或者滅亡。美國現在已經衰弱到了極致，也失敗到了極致。目前它的處境，就是一個被圍獵的獵物。現在的懸念是，獵人們團團包圍住了獵物，能不能殺死它，以及又會如何的殺死它。

2、一連串的軍事失敗，外交失敗，以及在某種低成本恐怖主義行動中的全面失敗，導致大家對美國這個國家的失敗，對舊世界的終結，爆發出來了徹底的絕望。這引發了拋售。這是捅向美國的致命第一刀。

3、沙特和俄羅斯形成默契，發起了石油戰爭，這個核彈級別的攻擊，重創了美國的能源行業，也重創了美國的資本市場。這是致命的第二刀。

核彈爆炸，美股嘩啦啦的跌了兩千多點，觸發熔斷。氣的特朗普，趕緊打電話給沙特談心。電話打完，沙特不僅沒有收兵，停止增產降價，還馬上決定繼續增產。對石油戰爭繼續增兵。

美國還指責了俄羅斯，但是俄羅斯表示，他們的存糧還有1500億美元，應付國際收支沒問題。應對國民經濟的動盪也沒問題。有信心把油價穩定在25美元的價格，保持十年之久。硬話出來了，打十年都能打到底。這是鐵了心要往死里打了。

美國、沙特和俄羅斯，是目前世界上三大石油出口國。同行就會存在競爭，但是呢，美國的吃相非常難看，沙特和俄羅斯，為了穩定油價，不停的減產，他們減產了，美國就不停的增產侵吞市場份額。結果逼出來了一場石油戰爭三國殺。

如果沙特和俄羅斯硬到底，不死不休的和美國打決戰，這場戰爭，至少能要美國的大半條命。雖然低油價會對俄羅斯和沙特的財政造成衝擊，但是這時候比的就是看誰先倒下，沙特和俄羅斯能撐下去，美國是無法撐下去的，他們的大量債券很快就要到期了。而且美國的頁岩油，本來成本就遠高於沙特和俄羅斯，這麼打價格戰，天然的處於被動挨打的地位。

4、信用息差不斷擴大，這是捅向美國的致命的第三刀。企業債券的到期收益率，和同期國債收益率的差值，叫做信用息差。石油戰爭這個導火索，引發了一連串的反應。油價下跌，能源企業收入下降，償債能力就會下降，債券評級就會下降，債券收益率就會增加，惡性循環下去，最後就是違約，從而爆發流動性風險。

而且這些垃圾債券的風險，跟病毒一樣，還會橫向傳遞到到其他行業，縱向傳遞到到整個金融體系。進一步引發系統性的風險。就像核彈爆炸，引發氫彈爆炸那樣。

要解決這個致命的信用息差擴大問題，有兩個思路，一個是降低國債的收益率，但是美國的國債收益率，已經低的不能再低了，這個行不通。還有一個辦法，就是提高企業的利潤。在疫情全球大流行和全球經濟大動盪的情況下，想要逆勢提高企業的利潤，也是白日做夢。這條路也行不通。這個問題如果一直解決不了，是會致命的。

08年的金融危機，大家都知道，是因為次貸危機引發的。這一次，美國的企業債問題，和08年的次級貸，都是信用擴張的主要手段，扮演的角色差不多。都是要命的東西。

5、要解決致命的信用息差問題，還有一個辦法，是在中東發動戰爭，製造石油危機，拉高油價。但是這條路也是死路，屬於送人頭。如果這個節骨眼上跑中東鬧事情，弄不好航母再被人炸了，美股能一天之內腰斬。這個是危險操作，發生的可能性不是很大。金融危機，是自己炸死自己。軍事選項，則是被別人給炸死。同樣都是死，但是被人打死，畢竟不是那麼光彩。

反過來，全世界各地，可以選擇敵退我進的策略，在美國無暇旁顧的時候，用軍事手段，攻擊它的全球利益點，讓它到處着火，充分消耗它的國力，充分殲滅它的有生力量。這是捅向美國的第四刀。

6、石油戰爭的第一階段是打價格戰，殺死美國的能源企業，引爆美國的企業債問題。這個階段的戰爭，已經足以致命了。但是還有下一個階段，是更致命的，如果沙特和俄羅斯，第一階段獲勝。他們會把戰爭推進到第二階段，把美元踢出石油結算體系。這是捅向美國的致命第五刀。

進一步，大家還會聯手，把美元踢出大宗商品結算體系，不僅是石油交易不再使用美元了，其他的大宗商品交易，也都不再使用美元了。對於美國這樣一個偽裝成國家的銀行來說，銀行發行的貨幣都沒人用了，到了這一步，也就徹徹底底的死透了涼透了。

7、美元之所以能夠成為世界貨幣，美國之所以能用貨幣統治世界，一方面是它控制資源國，壟斷了世界大宗商品的貿易結算。另一方面，是它控制了生產國，壟斷了產成品商品的貿易結算。資源國，沙特和俄羅斯為代表，已經出手了。生產國，接下來也會出手，把美國踢出產成品商品貿易的結算體系，這是捅向美國的致命第六刀。

生產國要殺死美元，貿易的時候不使用美元就行了。這個事情，可以分為下面幾個部分。第一是中日韓之間的貿易結算去美元化，第二是中國和歐洲之間的結算繞開美元。第三是中國和能源國之間的商品貿易結算實現去美元化。第四是世界各國之間的商品貿易結算實現去美元化。如果兩個方面，都完成了去美元化，大家手裡攢的美元，也都可以拋售掉了，這樣更是致命的擊殺。

石油戰爭，足以把美國殺死。貿易戰爭，是足以殺死美國的又一刀。如果兩刀一起捅，捅完就可以直接送火葬場了。

8、疫情的大流行，是致命的第七刀。從最近的表現看，美國根本沒有任何的可能，可以防控住這次疫情。造成大爆發大流行只是時間問題。這對美國國力的消耗，非常的巨大。這會造成社會失能的結果。對社會秩序帶來的衝擊力和破壞力，也非常的巨大，這會造成社會失序的結果。社會既失能又失序，兩個效應疊加在一起，美國會變成人間地獄，到處都是殺人放火強姦和搶劫。變成現實版的《生化危機》，和現實版的《人類清除計劃》。

在美國的華人們，你們要買槍買糧食，修建防禦工事，最好能組織起來，集結在一起自保自衛。

9、大選是捅向美國的致命第八刀。美國的社會，非常的撕裂，各種矛盾也極端的尖銳，尖銳到了一點就着的地步。資本的兼併，也到了最激烈的最後的決戰時刻。這個時候的大選，非常有可能爆發暴力革命。尤其是桑德斯，這個人和他背後的資本，極其的危險。如果大選失控的話，劇本就是電影《小丑》中的那樣。殺死所有有錢人。

10、特朗普，是捅向美國的致命第九刀。美國之所以走到現在這種絕境，特朗普的貢獻很大。只要他還在，美國就會不斷的失策，不斷的失敗，直到走向最後的滅亡。因為特朗普是個獲得失敗方面的天才。甚至可以說，特朗普在如何失敗這件事上面，具有某種神奇的特異功能。不管什麼事，一到他手裡，都會必敗無疑。

建國上台以來，一直都在失敗，還從來都沒有成功過。根本不像他這次講話裡面說的那樣，他們一直在成功。事實上他們一直都在失敗。

在敘利亞失敗了，在阿富汗失敗了，和咱們打貿易戰，也失敗了，被迫在談判桌上簽字。和阿富汗的戰爭，也失敗了，被塔利班逼上談判桌，被當成垃圾一樣的往外趕。在朝鮮失敗了，被玩弄於鼓掌之中。和伊朗的關係，也徹底的失敗了，被擊落無人機，還被炸了大使館。

大三角關係，徹底失敗，導致另外兩個大國結盟，共同對付米國。和歐洲的關係失敗了，馬克龍公開宣稱北約腦死亡，要把解散北約提上議程。和日韓的關係失敗了，導致日韓重新擇良主而事。和土耳其的關係失敗了，導致土耳其反水，加入了歐亞聯盟。和沙特的關係也失敗了，導致沙特和俄羅斯聯手發動了石油戰爭獵殺米國。和印度的關係也失敗了，把印度撩撥起來了，又不能滿足印度人的要求，結果只能導致反目。修了一個牆，和墨西哥的關係也搞失敗了。

打科技戰，失敗了。舉全國之力，圍剿中國的一家民營企業，結果還遭到了慘敗。金融戰爭也失敗了，美股一瀉千里崩盤了。國民經濟上，也徹底的失敗了，美國債務持續創新高，經濟上除了泡沫就是泡沫，除了虛假就是虛假。

疫情防控，也徹底的失敗了。不僅失敗了，還掩耳盜鈴的不肯面對現實。米國的疾控專家稱，如果對疫情，再不進行有效的干預，未來很有可能導致幾百萬米國人被感染。可怕，真可怕。

總之，建國上台後，一次都沒有成功過。只要他當一天的總統，美國這個國家就不可能好起來，只會不斷的從失敗走向失敗。

11、美國的跨國資本家，是捅向美國的致命第十刀。這些人沒有祖國，他們既是美國的主人，也可以馬上搖身一變，變成獵殺美國的獵人。他們現在恨不得美國馬上死，因為美國不死，會妨礙他們跳船，美國不死，就會自救和抵抗，就會影響他們的空頭平倉收益。這些人瘋起來，能把美股砸盤砸到1600點，大家看清楚，不是16000點，是能砸到1600點。

他們還能把美國變成一片火海，徹底拋棄這個宿主，把所有值錢的東西都弄走搬走。還會把這個國家撕成碎片，分裂成很多的小國家，以免這個國家以後再強大起來，再形成一個新的全球權力中心，影響他們未來的全球統治。到了這一步，就算是劇終了。至於他們以後去哪裡，再去哪裡興風作浪，他們以後還能不能繼續保持全球統治地位，要講這些事情，那就得拍續集了。

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     黨中央長出了一口氣 ——

  Josephine Ma 同志溫柔補刀：

The first case of someone in China suffering from Covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, can be traced back to November 17, according to government data seen by the South China Morning Post.

Chinese authorities have so far identified at least 266 people who were infected last year, all of whom came under medical surveillance at some point.

Some of the cases were likely backdated after health authorities had tested specimens taken from suspected patients.

Interviews with whistle-blowers from the medical community suggest Chinese doctors only realised they were dealing with a new disease in late December.

Scientists have been trying to map the pattern of the early transmission of Covid-19 since an epidemic was reported in the central China city of Wuhan in January, two months before the outbreak became a global health crisis.

Understanding how the disease spread and determining how undetected and undocumented cases contributed to its transmission will greatly improve their understanding of the size of that threat.

According to the government data seen by the Post, a 55 year-old from Hubei province could have been the first person to have contracted Covid-19 on November 17.

From that date onwards, one to five new cases were reported each day. By December 15, the total number of infections stood at 27 – the first double-digit daily rise was reported on December 17 – and by December 20, the total number of confirmed cases had reached 60.

On December 27, Zhang Jixian, a doctor from Hubei Provincial Hospital of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, told China’s health authorities that the disease was caused by a new coronavirus. By that date, more than 180 people had been infected, though doctors might not have been aware of all of them at the time.

By the final day of 2019, the number of confirmed cases had risen to 266, On the first day of 2020 it stood at 381.

While the government records have not been released to the public, they provide valuable clues about how the disease spread in its early days and the speed of its transmission, as well as how many confirmed cases Beijing has recorded.

Scientists are now keen to identify the so-called patient zero, which could help them to trace the source of the coronavirus, which is generally thought to have jumped to humans from a wild animal, possibly a bat.

Of the first nine cases to be reported in November – four men and five women – none has been confirmed as being “patient zero”. They were all aged between 39 and 79, but it is unknown how many were residents of Wuhan, the capital of Hubei and the epicentre of the outbreak.

It is possible that there were reported cases dating back even earlier than those seen by the Post.

According to the World Health Organisation’s website, the first confirmed Covid-19 case in China was on December 8, but the global body does not track the disease itself but relies on nations to provide such information.

A report published in medical journal The Lancet by Chinese doctors from Jinyintan Hospital in Wuhan, which treated some of the earliest patients, put the date of the first known infection at December 1.

Dr Ai Fen, the first known whistle-blower, told People magazine in an interview that was later censored, that tests showed that a patient at Wuhan Central Hospital was diagnosed on December 16 as having contracted an unknown coronavirus.

According to government reports, a 55 year-old from Hubei province was the first person to fall sick with Covid-19. Photo: Reuters

Accounts by other doctors seem to suggest the medical community in Wuhan became aware of the disease in late December.

Previous reports said that although doctors in the city collected samples from suspected cases in late December, they could not confirm their findings because they were bogged down by bureaucracy, such as having to get approval from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, which could take days. They were also ordered not to disclose any information about the new disease to the public.

As late as January 11, Wuhan’s health authorities were still claiming there were just 41 confirmed cases.

Purchase the China AI Report 2020 brought to you by SCMP Research and enjoy a 20% discount (original price US$400). This 60-page all new intelligence report gives you first-hand insights and analysis into the latest industry developments and intelligence about China AI. Get exclusive access to our webinars for continuous learning, and interact with China AI executives in live Q&A. Offer valid until 31 March 2020.COMMENTS

Josephine Ma

Josephine Ma is China news editor. She has been covering China news for the South China Morning Post for more than 20 years. As a Beijing correspondent, she reported on everything from the Sars outbreak in 2003 to the Lhasa riot and Beijing Olympics in 2008.

By Bill Gertz - The Washington Times - Thursday, March 12, 2020

A Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman on Thursday accused the U.S. Army of sending the coronavirus to China, a charge expected to be countered by the Trump administration as disinformation.

Zhao Lijan, spokesperson and deputy director general of the Foreign Ministry information department, made the claim on Twitter, a social media platform banned in China.

Mr. Zhao asked in a tweet when the first patient to contract the disease caused by the virus was detected and how many people were infected.

“What are the names of the hospitals? It might be U.S. army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan,” he wrote. “Be transparent! Make public your data! U.S. owe us an explanation!”

Mr. Zhao offered no evidence for the claim but the comments followed earlier Chinese government statements suggesting the coronavirus originated outside China.

The Trump administration is planning a high-level response to what it regards as an outrageous propaganda statement designed to fuel anti-American sentiment in China and around the world.

Mr. Zhao, the spokesman, then referred to a group called the Centre for Research on Globalization, that published in Montreal, Canada, an article under the headline “Further evidence that the virus originated in the U.S.”

The Washington Times disclosed last week that a senior Chinese medical official announced that the coronavirus originated outside China, which fueled rumors throughout China and the rest of Asia that the CIA has bioengineered the virus as a weapon.

The CIA denied the disinformation.

White House National Security Robert O’Brien, at a speech at the Heritage Foundation on Wednesday, called out the Chinese for mishandling the virus outbreak.

“This outbreak in Wuhan was covered up,” Mr. O’Brien said, noting that the coverup delayed a global response by two months.

The origin of the coronavirus remains a mystery. It first surfaced in early December when the first victims developed viral pneumonia and many, but not all, had a link to a wild animal market in Wuhan.

In recent weeks, the Chinese government appears to have backed away from the Wuhan market theory on the origin, and shifted to claiming the virus was introduced into China from abroad.

Wuhan is the location of China sole declared Level-4 laboratory at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. The laboratory is engaged in research on deadly coronaviruses and has been linked to China’s covert biological weapons program.

A truly bombshell and unprecedented accusation, underscoring that if Sino-US relations amid the broader crisis weren't already bad enough, they're about to crash much, much lower: China's Foreign Ministry spokesman tweets "it might be the US Army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan" — the widely acknowledged epicenter and origin point of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Such shock allegations have recently been swirling in foreign media, especially in Chinese, Iranian and Russian press; however, this is the first time such a high Beijing has leveled the charge — this after President Trump controversially referred to it as a "foreign virus".

Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian made the remarks on his official Twitter account Thursday, citing prior televised testimony by CDC Director Robert Redfield to the House Oversight Committee ...

美國軍人2019年10月帶毒武漢

正在閉合的證據鏈第一呈堂

舉證人： 總編胡錫進同志

https://twitter.com/Toddnay1Raynard/status/1238443211300855809

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https://twitter.com/ChinaDaily/status/1001255579157979136

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China’s Coronavirus: A Shocking Update. Did The Virus Originate in the US?

By Larry Romanoff, March 04, 2020

***

As readers will recall from the earlier article (above), Japanese and Taiwanese epidemiologists and pharmacologists have determined that the new coronavirus almost certainly originated in the US since that country is the only one known to have all five types – from which all others must have descended. Wuhan in China has only one of those types, rendering it in analogy as a kind of “branch” which cannot exist by itself but must have grown from a “tree”.

The Taiwanese physician noted that in August of 2019 the US had a flurry of lung pneumonias or similar, which the Americans blamed on ‘vaping’ from e-cigarettes, but which, according to the scientist, the symptoms and conditions could not be explained by e-cigarettes. He said he wrote to the US officials telling them he suspected those deaths were likely due to the coronavirus. He claims his warnings were ignored.

Immediately prior to that, the CDC totally shut down the US Military’s main bio-lab at Fort Detrick, Maryland, due to an absence of safeguards against pathogen leakages, issuing a complete “cease and desist” order to the military. It was immediately after this event that the ‘e-cigarette’ epidemic arose.

Screenshot from The New York Times August 08, 2019

We also had the Japanese citizens infected in September of 2019, in Hawaii, people who had never been to China, these infections occurring on US soil long before the outbreak in Wuhan but only shortly after the locking down of Fort Detrick.

Then, on Chinese social media, another article appeared, aware of the above but presenting further details. It stated in part that five “foreign” athletes or other personnel visiting Wuhan for the World Military Games (October 18-27, 2019) were hospitalised in Wuhan for an undetermined infection.

The article explains more clearly that the Wuhan version of the virus could have come only from the US because it is what they call a “branch” which could not have been created first because it would have no ‘seed’. It would have to have been a new variety spun off the original ‘trunk’, and that trunk exists only in the US. (1)

There has been much public speculation that the coronavirus had been deliberately transmitted to China but, according to the Chinese article, a less sinister alternative is possible.

If some members of the US team at the World Military Games (18-27 October) had become infected by the virus from an accidental outbreak at Fort Detrick it is possible that, with a long initial incubation period, their symptoms might have been minor, and those individuals could easily have ‘toured’ the city of Wuhan during their stay, infecting potentially thousands of local residents in various locations, many of whom would later travel to the seafood market from which the virus would spread like wildfire  (as it did).

That would account also for the practical impossibility of locating the legendary “patient zero” – which in this case has never been found since there would have been many of them.

Next, Daniel Lucey, an infectious disease expert at Georgetown University in Washington, said in an article in Science magazine that the first human infection has been confirmed as occurring in November 2019, (not in Wuhan), suggesting the virus originated elsewhere and then spread to the seafood markets. “One group put the origin of the outbreak as early as 18 September 2019.” (2) (3)

China’s New Coronavirus: An Examination of the Facts

Wuhan seafood market may not be source of novel virus spreading globally.

Description of earliest cases suggests outbreak began elsewhere.

The article states:

“As confirmed cases of a novel virus surge around the world with worrisome speed, all eyes have so far focused on a seafood market in Wuhan, China, as the origin of the outbreak. But a description of the first clinical cases published in The Lancet on Friday challenges that hypothesis.” (4) (5)

The paper, written by a large group of Chinese researchers from several institutions, offers details about the first 41 hospitalized patients who had confirmed infections with what has been dubbed 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV).

In the earliest case, the patient became ill on 1 December 2019 and had no reported link to the seafood market, the authors report. “No epidemiological link was found between the first patient and later cases”, they state. Their data also show that, in total, 13 of the 41 cases had no link to the marketplace. “That’s a big number, 13, with no link”, says Daniel Lucey . . . (6)

Earlier reports from Chinese health authorities and the World Health Organization had said the first patient had onset of symptoms on 8 December 2019 – and those reports simply said “most” cases had links to the seafood market, which was closed on 1 January. (7)

“Lucey says if the new data are accurate, the first human infections must have occurred in November 2019 – if not earlier – because there is an incubation time between infection and symptoms surfacing. If so, the virus possibly spread silently between people in Wuhan – and perhaps elsewhere – before the cluster of cases from the city’s now-infamous Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market was discovered in late December. “The virus came into that marketplace before it came out of that marketplace”, Lucey asserts.

“China must have realized the epidemic did not originate in that Wuhan Huanan seafood market”, Lucey told Science Insider. (8)

Kristian Andersen is an evolutionary biologist at the Scripps Research Institute who has analyzed sequences of 2019-nCoV to try to clarify its origin. He said the scenario was “entirely plausible” of infected persons bringing the virus into the seafood market from somewhere outside. According to the Science article,

“Andersen posted his analysis of 27 available genomes of 2019-nCoV on 25 January on a virology research website. It suggests they had a “most recent common ancestor” – meaning a common source – as early as 1 October 2019.” (9)

It was interesting that Lucey also noted that MERS was originally believed to have come from a patient in Saudi Arabia in June of 2012, but later and more thorough studies traced it back to an earlier hospital outbreak of unexplained pneumonia in Jordan in April of that year. Lucey said that from stored samples from people who died in Jordan, medical authorities confirmed they had been infected with the MERS virus. (10)

This would provide impetus for caution among the public in accepting the “official standard narrative” that the Western media are always so eager to provide – as they did with SARS, MERS, and ZIKA, all of which ‘official narratives’ were later proven to have been entirely wrong.

In this case, the Western media flooded their pages for months about the COVID-19 virus originating in the Wuhan seafood market, caused by people eating bats and wild animals. All of this has been proven wrong.

Not only did the virus not originate at the seafood market, it did not originate in Wuhan at all, and it has now been proven that it did not originate in China but was brought to China from another country. Part of the proof of this assertion is that the genome varieties of the virus in Iran and Italy have been sequenced and declared to have no part of the variety that infected China and must, by definition, have originated elsewhere.

It would seem the only possibility for origination is the US because only that country has the “tree trunk” of all the varieties. And it may therefore be true that the original source of the COVID-19 virus was the US military bio-warfare lab at Fort Detrick. This would not be a surprise, given that the CDC completely shut down Fort Detrick, but also because, as I related in an earlier article, between 2005 and 2012 the US had experienced 1,059 events where pathogens had been either stolen or escaped from American bio-labs during the prior ten years – an average of one every three days.

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Larry Romanoff is a retired management consultant and businessman. He has held senior executive positions in international consulting firms, and owned an international import-export business. He has been a visiting professor at Shanghai’s Fudan University, presenting case studies in international affairs to senior EMBA classes. Mr. Romanoff lives in Shanghai and is currently writing a series of ten books generally related to China and the West. He can be contacted at: 2186604556@qq.com. He is a frequent contributor to Global Research.

Notes

(1) https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CjGWaaDSKTyjWRMyQyGXUA

(2) https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6477/492.full

(3) Science; Jon Cohen; Jan. 26, 2020
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/wuhan-seafood-market-may-not-be-source-novel-virus-spreading-globally

(4) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext

(5) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext

(6) http://wjw.wuhan.gov.cn/front/web/showDetail/2020011109036

(7) http://wjw.wuhan.gov.cn/front/web/showDetail/2020011509040

(8) https://sciencespeaksblog.org/2020/01/25/wuhan-coronavirus-2019-ncov-qa-6-an-evidence-based-hypothesis/

(9) http://virological.org/t/clock-and-tmrca-based-on-27-genomes/347

(10) http://applications.emro.who.int/emhj/v19/Supp1/EMHJ_2013_19_Supp1_S12_S18.pdf

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The original source of this article is Global Research

Copyright © Larry Romanoff, Global Research, 2020