https://www.xiaoxiangtoutia

o.com/m/view.php?aid=2704

上篇文章《崩塌：当灯塔熄灭时》，我们对天下大势，做了总体上的判断。照例，长话短说，直奔主题，我们本文讲一讲，正在发生的这场大围猎。

1、资本市场上，只有一个法则——攻击弱者。在国际关系中，也只有一个准则——生存或者灭亡。美国现在已经衰弱到了极致，也失败到了极致。目前它的处境，就是一个被围猎的猎物。现在的悬念是，猎人们团团包围住了猎物，能不能杀死它，以及又会如何的杀死它。

2、一连串的军事失败，外交失败，以及在某种低成本恐怖主义行动中的全面失败，导致大家对美国这个国家的失败，对旧世界的终结，爆发出来了彻底的绝望。这引发了抛售。这是捅向美国的致命第一刀。

3、沙特和俄罗斯形成默契，发起了石油战争，这个核弹级别的攻击，重创了美国的能源行业，也重创了美国的资本市场。这是致命的第二刀。

核弹爆炸，美股哗啦啦的跌了两千多点，触发熔断。气的特朗普，赶紧打电话给沙特谈心。电话打完，沙特不仅没有收兵，停止增产降价，还马上决定继续增产。对石油战争继续增兵。

美国还指责了俄罗斯，但是俄罗斯表示，他们的存粮还有1500亿美元，应付国际收支没问题。应对国民经济的动荡也没问题。有信心把油价稳定在25美元的价格，保持十年之久。硬话出来了，打十年都能打到底。这是铁了心要往死里打了。

美国、沙特和俄罗斯，是目前世界上三大石油出口国。同行就会存在竞争，但是呢，美国的吃相非常难看，沙特和俄罗斯，为了稳定油价，不停的减产，他们减产了，美国就不停的增产侵吞市场份额。结果逼出来了一场石油战争三国杀。

如果沙特和俄罗斯硬到底，不死不休的和美国打决战，这场战争，至少能要美国的大半条命。虽然低油价会对俄罗斯和沙特的财政造成冲击，但是这时候比的就是看谁先倒下，沙特和俄罗斯能撑下去，美国是无法撑下去的，他们的大量债券很快就要到期了。而且美国的页岩油，本来成本就远高于沙特和俄罗斯，这么打价格战，天然的处于被动挨打的地位。

4、信用息差不断扩大，这是捅向美国的致命的第三刀。企业债券的到期收益率，和同期国债收益率的差值，叫做信用息差。石油战争这个导火索，引发了一连串的反应。油价下跌，能源企业收入下降，偿债能力就会下降，债券评级就会下降，债券收益率就会增加，恶性循环下去，最后就是违约，从而爆发流动性风险。

而且这些垃圾债券的风险，跟病毒一样，还会横向传递到到其他行业，纵向传递到到整个金融体系。进一步引发系统性的风险。就像核弹爆炸，引发氢弹爆炸那样。

要解决这个致命的信用息差扩大问题，有两个思路，一个是降低国债的收益率，但是美国的国债收益率，已经低的不能再低了，这个行不通。还有一个办法，就是提高企业的利润。在疫情全球大流行和全球经济大动荡的情况下，想要逆势提高企业的利润，也是白日做梦。这条路也行不通。这个问题如果一直解决不了，是会致命的。

08年的金融危机，大家都知道，是因为次贷危机引发的。这一次，美国的企业债问题，和08年的次级贷，都是信用扩张的主要手段，扮演的角色差不多。都是要命的东西。

5、要解决致命的信用息差问题，还有一个办法，是在中东发动战争，制造石油危机，拉高油价。但是这条路也是死路，属于送人头。如果这个节骨眼上跑中东闹事情，弄不好航母再被人炸了，美股能一天之内腰斩。这个是危险操作，发生的可能性不是很大。金融危机，是自己炸死自己。军事选项，则是被别人给炸死。同样都是死，但是被人打死，毕竟不是那么光彩。

反过来，全世界各地，可以选择敌退我进的策略，在美国无暇旁顾的时候，用军事手段，攻击它的全球利益点，让它到处着火，充分消耗它的国力，充分歼灭它的有生力量。这是捅向美国的第四刀。

6、石油战争的第一阶段是打价格战，杀死美国的能源企业，引爆美国的企业债问题。这个阶段的战争，已经足以致命了。但是还有下一个阶段，是更致命的，如果沙特和俄罗斯，第一阶段获胜。他们会把战争推进到第二阶段，把美元踢出石油结算体系。这是捅向美国的致命第五刀。

进一步，大家还会联手，把美元踢出大宗商品结算体系，不仅是石油交易不再使用美元了，其他的大宗商品交易，也都不再使用美元了。对于美国这样一个伪装成国家的银行来说，银行发行的货币都没人用了，到了这一步，也就彻彻底底的死透了凉透了。

7、美元之所以能够成为世界货币，美国之所以能用货币统治世界，一方面是它控制资源国，垄断了世界大宗商品的贸易结算。另一方面，是它控制了生产国，垄断了产成品商品的贸易结算。资源国，沙特和俄罗斯为代表，已经出手了。生产国，接下来也会出手，把美国踢出产成品商品贸易的结算体系，这是捅向美国的致命第六刀。

生产国要杀死美元，贸易的时候不使用美元就行了。这个事情，可以分为下面几个部分。第一是中日韩之间的贸易结算去美元化，第二是中国和欧洲之间的结算绕开美元。第三是中国和能源国之间的商品贸易结算实现去美元化。第四是世界各国之间的商品贸易结算实现去美元化。如果两个方面，都完成了去美元化，大家手里攒的美元，也都可以抛售掉了，这样更是致命的击杀。

石油战争，足以把美国杀死。贸易战争，是足以杀死美国的又一刀。如果两刀一起捅，捅完就可以直接送火葬场了。

8、疫情的大流行，是致命的第七刀。从最近的表现看，美国根本没有任何的可能，可以防控住这次疫情。造成大爆发大流行只是时间问题。这对美国国力的消耗，非常的巨大。这会造成社会失能的结果。对社会秩序带来的冲击力和破坏力，也非常的巨大，这会造成社会失序的结果。社会既失能又失序，两个效应叠加在一起，美国会变成人间地狱，到处都是杀人放火强奸和抢劫。变成现实版的《生化危机》，和现实版的《人类清除计划》。

在美国的华人们，你们要买枪买粮食，修建防御工事，最好能组织起来，集结在一起自保自卫。

9、大选是捅向美国的致命第八刀。美国的社会，非常的撕裂，各种矛盾也极端的尖锐，尖锐到了一点就着的地步。资本的兼并，也到了最激烈的最后的决战时刻。这个时候的大选，非常有可能爆发暴力革命。尤其是桑德斯，这个人和他背后的资本，极其的危险。如果大选失控的话，剧本就是电影《小丑》中的那样。杀死所有有钱人。

10、特朗普，是捅向美国的致命第九刀。美国之所以走到现在这种绝境，特朗普的贡献很大。只要他还在，美国就会不断的失策，不断的失败，直到走向最后的灭亡。因为特朗普是个获得失败方面的天才。甚至可以说，特朗普在如何失败这件事上面，具有某种神奇的特异功能。不管什么事，一到他手里，都会必败无疑。

建国上台以来，一直都在失败，还从来都没有成功过。根本不像他这次讲话里面说的那样，他们一直在成功。事实上他们一直都在失败。

在叙利亚失败了，在阿富汗失败了，和咱们打贸易战，也失败了，被迫在谈判桌上签字。和阿富汗的战争，也失败了，被塔利班逼上谈判桌，被当成垃圾一样的往外赶。在朝鲜失败了，被玩弄于鼓掌之中。和伊朗的关系，也彻底的失败了，被击落无人机，还被炸了大使馆。

大三角关系，彻底失败，导致另外两个大国结盟，共同对付米国。和欧洲的关系失败了，马克龙公开宣称北约脑死亡，要把解散北约提上议程。和日韩的关系失败了，导致日韩重新择良主而事。和土耳其的关系失败了，导致土耳其反水，加入了欧亚联盟。和沙特的关系也失败了，导致沙特和俄罗斯联手发动了石油战争猎杀米国。和印度的关系也失败了，把印度撩拨起来了，又不能满足印度人的要求，结果只能导致反目。修了一个墙，和墨西哥的关系也搞失败了。

打科技战，失败了。举全国之力，围剿中国的一家民营企业，结果还遭到了惨败。金融战争也失败了，美股一泻千里崩盘了。国民经济上，也彻底的失败了，美国债务持续创新高，经济上除了泡沫就是泡沫，除了虚假就是虚假。

疫情防控，也彻底的失败了。不仅失败了，还掩耳盗铃的不肯面对现实。米国的疾控专家称，如果对疫情，再不进行有效的干预，未来很有可能导致几百万米国人被感染。可怕，真可怕。

总之，建国上台后，一次都没有成功过。只要他当一天的总统，美国这个国家就不可能好起来，只会不断的从失败走向失败。

11、美国的跨国资本家，是捅向美国的致命第十刀。这些人没有祖国，他们既是美国的主人，也可以马上摇身一变，变成猎杀美国的猎人。他们现在恨不得美国马上死，因为美国不死，会妨碍他们跳船，美国不死，就会自救和抵抗，就会影响他们的空头平仓收益。这些人疯起来，能把美股砸盘砸到1600点，大家看清楚，不是16000点，是能砸到1600点。

他们还能把美国变成一片火海，彻底抛弃这个宿主，把所有值钱的东西都弄走搬走。还会把这个国家撕成碎片，分裂成很多的小国家，以免这个国家以后再强大起来，再形成一个新的全球权力中心，影响他们未来的全球统治。到了这一步，就算是剧终了。至于他们以后去哪里，再去哪里兴风作浪，他们以后还能不能继续保持全球统治地位，要讲这些事情，那就得拍续集了。

  *******************************

     党中央长出了一口气 ——

  Josephine Ma 同志温柔补刀：

The first case of someone in China suffering from Covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, can be traced back to November 17, according to government data seen by the South China Morning Post.

Chinese authorities have so far identified at least 266 people who were infected last year, all of whom came under medical surveillance at some point.

Some of the cases were likely backdated after health authorities had tested specimens taken from suspected patients.

Interviews with whistle-blowers from the medical community suggest Chinese doctors only realised they were dealing with a new disease in late December.

Scientists have been trying to map the pattern of the early transmission of Covid-19 since an epidemic was reported in the central China city of Wuhan in January, two months before the outbreak became a global health crisis.

Understanding how the disease spread and determining how undetected and undocumented cases contributed to its transmission will greatly improve their understanding of the size of that threat.

According to the government data seen by the Post, a 55 year-old from Hubei province could have been the first person to have contracted Covid-19 on November 17.

From that date onwards, one to five new cases were reported each day. By December 15, the total number of infections stood at 27 – the first double-digit daily rise was reported on December 17 – and by December 20, the total number of confirmed cases had reached 60.

On December 27, Zhang Jixian, a doctor from Hubei Provincial Hospital of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, told China’s health authorities that the disease was caused by a new coronavirus. By that date, more than 180 people had been infected, though doctors might not have been aware of all of them at the time.

By the final day of 2019, the number of confirmed cases had risen to 266, On the first day of 2020 it stood at 381.

While the government records have not been released to the public, they provide valuable clues about how the disease spread in its early days and the speed of its transmission, as well as how many confirmed cases Beijing has recorded.

Scientists are now keen to identify the so-called patient zero, which could help them to trace the source of the coronavirus, which is generally thought to have jumped to humans from a wild animal, possibly a bat.

Of the first nine cases to be reported in November – four men and five women – none has been confirmed as being “patient zero”. They were all aged between 39 and 79, but it is unknown how many were residents of Wuhan, the capital of Hubei and the epicentre of the outbreak.

It is possible that there were reported cases dating back even earlier than those seen by the Post.

According to the World Health Organisation’s website, the first confirmed Covid-19 case in China was on December 8, but the global body does not track the disease itself but relies on nations to provide such information.

A report published in medical journal The Lancet by Chinese doctors from Jinyintan Hospital in Wuhan, which treated some of the earliest patients, put the date of the first known infection at December 1.

Dr Ai Fen, the first known whistle-blower, told People magazine in an interview that was later censored, that tests showed that a patient at Wuhan Central Hospital was diagnosed on December 16 as having contracted an unknown coronavirus.

According to government reports, a 55 year-old from Hubei province was the first person to fall sick with Covid-19. Photo: Reuters

Accounts by other doctors seem to suggest the medical community in Wuhan became aware of the disease in late December.

Previous reports said that although doctors in the city collected samples from suspected cases in late December, they could not confirm their findings because they were bogged down by bureaucracy, such as having to get approval from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, which could take days. They were also ordered not to disclose any information about the new disease to the public.

As late as January 11, Wuhan’s health authorities were still claiming there were just 41 confirmed cases.

Purchase the China AI Report 2020 brought to you by SCMP Research and enjoy a 20% discount (original price US$400). This 60-page all new intelligence report gives you first-hand insights and analysis into the latest industry developments and intelligence about China AI. Get exclusive access to our webinars for continuous learning, and interact with China AI executives in live Q&A. Offer valid until 31 March 2020.COMMENTS

Josephine Ma

Josephine Ma is China news editor. She has been covering China news for the South China Morning Post for more than 20 years. As a Beijing correspondent, she reported on everything from the Sars outbreak in 2003 to the Lhasa riot and Beijing Olympics in 2008.

By Bill Gertz - The Washington Times - Thursday, March 12, 2020

A Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman on Thursday accused the U.S. Army of sending the coronavirus to China, a charge expected to be countered by the Trump administration as disinformation.

Zhao Lijan, spokesperson and deputy director general of the Foreign Ministry information department, made the claim on Twitter, a social media platform banned in China.

Mr. Zhao asked in a tweet when the first patient to contract the disease caused by the virus was detected and how many people were infected.

“What are the names of the hospitals? It might be U.S. army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan,” he wrote. “Be transparent! Make public your data! U.S. owe us an explanation!”

Mr. Zhao offered no evidence for the claim but the comments followed earlier Chinese government statements suggesting the coronavirus originated outside China.

The Trump administration is planning a high-level response to what it regards as an outrageous propaganda statement designed to fuel anti-American sentiment in China and around the world.

Mr. Zhao, the spokesman, then referred to a group called the Centre for Research on Globalization, that published in Montreal, Canada, an article under the headline “Further evidence that the virus originated in the U.S.”

The Washington Times disclosed last week that a senior Chinese medical official announced that the coronavirus originated outside China, which fueled rumors throughout China and the rest of Asia that the CIA has bioengineered the virus as a weapon.

The CIA denied the disinformation.

White House National Security Robert O’Brien, at a speech at the Heritage Foundation on Wednesday, called out the Chinese for mishandling the virus outbreak.

“This outbreak in Wuhan was covered up,” Mr. O’Brien said, noting that the coverup delayed a global response by two months.

The origin of the coronavirus remains a mystery. It first surfaced in early December when the first victims developed viral pneumonia and many, but not all, had a link to a wild animal market in Wuhan.

In recent weeks, the Chinese government appears to have backed away from the Wuhan market theory on the origin, and shifted to claiming the virus was introduced into China from abroad.

Wuhan is the location of China sole declared Level-4 laboratory at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. The laboratory is engaged in research on deadly coronaviruses and has been linked to China’s covert biological weapons program.

A truly bombshell and unprecedented accusation, underscoring that if Sino-US relations amid the broader crisis weren't already bad enough, they're about to crash much, much lower: China's Foreign Ministry spokesman tweets "it might be the US Army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan" — the widely acknowledged epicenter and origin point of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Such shock allegations have recently been swirling in foreign media, especially in Chinese, Iranian and Russian press; however, this is the first time such a high Beijing has leveled the charge — this after President Trump controversially referred to it as a "foreign virus".

Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian made the remarks on his official Twitter account Thursday, citing prior televised testimony by CDC Director Robert Redfield to the House Oversight Committee ...

美国军人2019年10月带毒武汉

正在闭合的证据链第一呈堂

举证人： 总编胡锡进同志

https://twitter.com/Toddnay1Raynard/status/1238443211300855809

  ***************************

https://twitter.com/ChinaDaily/status/1001255579157979136

  ****************************

China’s Coronavirus: A Shocking Update. Did The Virus Originate in the US?

By Larry Romanoff, March 04, 2020

***

As readers will recall from the earlier article (above), Japanese and Taiwanese epidemiologists and pharmacologists have determined that the new coronavirus almost certainly originated in the US since that country is the only one known to have all five types – from which all others must have descended. Wuhan in China has only one of those types, rendering it in analogy as a kind of “branch” which cannot exist by itself but must have grown from a “tree”.

The Taiwanese physician noted that in August of 2019 the US had a flurry of lung pneumonias or similar, which the Americans blamed on ‘vaping’ from e-cigarettes, but which, according to the scientist, the symptoms and conditions could not be explained by e-cigarettes. He said he wrote to the US officials telling them he suspected those deaths were likely due to the coronavirus. He claims his warnings were ignored.

Immediately prior to that, the CDC totally shut down the US Military’s main bio-lab at Fort Detrick, Maryland, due to an absence of safeguards against pathogen leakages, issuing a complete “cease and desist” order to the military. It was immediately after this event that the ‘e-cigarette’ epidemic arose.

Screenshot from The New York Times August 08, 2019

We also had the Japanese citizens infected in September of 2019, in Hawaii, people who had never been to China, these infections occurring on US soil long before the outbreak in Wuhan but only shortly after the locking down of Fort Detrick.

Then, on Chinese social media, another article appeared, aware of the above but presenting further details. It stated in part that five “foreign” athletes or other personnel visiting Wuhan for the World Military Games (October 18-27, 2019) were hospitalised in Wuhan for an undetermined infection.

The article explains more clearly that the Wuhan version of the virus could have come only from the US because it is what they call a “branch” which could not have been created first because it would have no ‘seed’. It would have to have been a new variety spun off the original ‘trunk’, and that trunk exists only in the US. (1)

There has been much public speculation that the coronavirus had been deliberately transmitted to China but, according to the Chinese article, a less sinister alternative is possible.

If some members of the US team at the World Military Games (18-27 October) had become infected by the virus from an accidental outbreak at Fort Detrick it is possible that, with a long initial incubation period, their symptoms might have been minor, and those individuals could easily have ‘toured’ the city of Wuhan during their stay, infecting potentially thousands of local residents in various locations, many of whom would later travel to the seafood market from which the virus would spread like wildfire  (as it did).

That would account also for the practical impossibility of locating the legendary “patient zero” – which in this case has never been found since there would have been many of them.

Next, Daniel Lucey, an infectious disease expert at Georgetown University in Washington, said in an article in Science magazine that the first human infection has been confirmed as occurring in November 2019, (not in Wuhan), suggesting the virus originated elsewhere and then spread to the seafood markets. “One group put the origin of the outbreak as early as 18 September 2019.” (2) (3)

China’s New Coronavirus: An Examination of the Facts

Wuhan seafood market may not be source of novel virus spreading globally.

Description of earliest cases suggests outbreak began elsewhere.

The article states:

“As confirmed cases of a novel virus surge around the world with worrisome speed, all eyes have so far focused on a seafood market in Wuhan, China, as the origin of the outbreak. But a description of the first clinical cases published in The Lancet on Friday challenges that hypothesis.” (4) (5)

The paper, written by a large group of Chinese researchers from several institutions, offers details about the first 41 hospitalized patients who had confirmed infections with what has been dubbed 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV).

In the earliest case, the patient became ill on 1 December 2019 and had no reported link to the seafood market, the authors report. “No epidemiological link was found between the first patient and later cases”, they state. Their data also show that, in total, 13 of the 41 cases had no link to the marketplace. “That’s a big number, 13, with no link”, says Daniel Lucey . . . (6)

Earlier reports from Chinese health authorities and the World Health Organization had said the first patient had onset of symptoms on 8 December 2019 – and those reports simply said “most” cases had links to the seafood market, which was closed on 1 January. (7)

“Lucey says if the new data are accurate, the first human infections must have occurred in November 2019 – if not earlier – because there is an incubation time between infection and symptoms surfacing. If so, the virus possibly spread silently between people in Wuhan – and perhaps elsewhere – before the cluster of cases from the city’s now-infamous Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market was discovered in late December. “The virus came into that marketplace before it came out of that marketplace”, Lucey asserts.

“China must have realized the epidemic did not originate in that Wuhan Huanan seafood market”, Lucey told Science Insider. (8)

Kristian Andersen is an evolutionary biologist at the Scripps Research Institute who has analyzed sequences of 2019-nCoV to try to clarify its origin. He said the scenario was “entirely plausible” of infected persons bringing the virus into the seafood market from somewhere outside. According to the Science article,

“Andersen posted his analysis of 27 available genomes of 2019-nCoV on 25 January on a virology research website. It suggests they had a “most recent common ancestor” – meaning a common source – as early as 1 October 2019.” (9)

It was interesting that Lucey also noted that MERS was originally believed to have come from a patient in Saudi Arabia in June of 2012, but later and more thorough studies traced it back to an earlier hospital outbreak of unexplained pneumonia in Jordan in April of that year. Lucey said that from stored samples from people who died in Jordan, medical authorities confirmed they had been infected with the MERS virus. (10)

This would provide impetus for caution among the public in accepting the “official standard narrative” that the Western media are always so eager to provide – as they did with SARS, MERS, and ZIKA, all of which ‘official narratives’ were later proven to have been entirely wrong.

In this case, the Western media flooded their pages for months about the COVID-19 virus originating in the Wuhan seafood market, caused by people eating bats and wild animals. All of this has been proven wrong.

Not only did the virus not originate at the seafood market, it did not originate in Wuhan at all, and it has now been proven that it did not originate in China but was brought to China from another country. Part of the proof of this assertion is that the genome varieties of the virus in Iran and Italy have been sequenced and declared to have no part of the variety that infected China and must, by definition, have originated elsewhere.

It would seem the only possibility for origination is the US because only that country has the “tree trunk” of all the varieties. And it may therefore be true that the original source of the COVID-19 virus was the US military bio-warfare lab at Fort Detrick. This would not be a surprise, given that the CDC completely shut down Fort Detrick, but also because, as I related in an earlier article, between 2005 and 2012 the US had experienced 1,059 events where pathogens had been either stolen or escaped from American bio-labs during the prior ten years – an average of one every three days.

*

Note to readers: please click the share buttons above or below. Forward this article to your email lists. Crosspost on your blog site, internet forums. etc.

Larry Romanoff is a retired management consultant and businessman. He has held senior executive positions in international consulting firms, and owned an international import-export business. He has been a visiting professor at Shanghai’s Fudan University, presenting case studies in international affairs to senior EMBA classes. Mr. Romanoff lives in Shanghai and is currently writing a series of ten books generally related to China and the West. He can be contacted at: 2186604556@qq.com. He is a frequent contributor to Global Research.

Notes

(1) https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CjGWaaDSKTyjWRMyQyGXUA

(2) https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6477/492.full

(3) Science; Jon Cohen; Jan. 26, 2020
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/wuhan-seafood-market-may-not-be-source-novel-virus-spreading-globally

(4) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext

(5) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext

(6) http://wjw.wuhan.gov.cn/front/web/showDetail/2020011109036

(7) http://wjw.wuhan.gov.cn/front/web/showDetail/2020011509040

(8) https://sciencespeaksblog.org/2020/01/25/wuhan-coronavirus-2019-ncov-qa-6-an-evidence-based-hypothesis/

(9) http://virological.org/t/clock-and-tmrca-based-on-27-genomes/347

(10) http://applications.emro.who.int/emhj/v19/Supp1/EMHJ_2013_19_Supp1_S12_S18.pdf

Featured image is from Health.mil

The original source of this article is Global Research

Copyright © Larry Romanoff, Global Research, 2020