中國最近幾個月的金融有點變味,外匯收入很不穩定,通過外匯占款的方式投放到實體經濟的貨幣明顯減少,造成經濟冷卻。
薄熙來的打黑和先分蛋糕的提法,都嚴重打擊國內富人的信心。中國的富人,沒有一個的屁股是乾淨的,薄熙來代表的這股左傾,促成了富人的移民潮。富人的移民是用人民幣換外匯的做法,將加重外匯流失和人民幣貨幣供應的減少,讓經濟更冷。
胡溫非常明白沒有外匯的持續增加,中國經濟的信心就有疑問,如果更嚴重的出現了外匯持續減少,經濟將不可挽回的冷卻,那作為執政基礎的經濟繁榮就要出問題。政權就要有疑問。
打擊薄熙來斷然制止重慶的左傾,就是要讓外國的傻錢更有信心進入中國,讓國內的富人定下心來。防止外匯減少,希望外匯繼續增加。
中共高層早就明確的說:“新社會階層・“原罪”問題不再討論”。都是為了穩住富人的信心。 http://news.china.com.cn/rollnews/2010-12/10/content_5551725.htm 薄熙來的左傾和這個大方向嚴重衝突。
PS:
突然明白了Monty Hall problem。 原來裡面有一句關鍵的話:“and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door,”
Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1 [but the door is not opened], and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?