东海油田中方让步了吗?
来源: 蓝天的鹰
双方都没有足够的实力去完全占据某个区域,都承受不了武力解决的成本与后果或者权衡之后认为收益不足以支持发动武力解决,那怎么办?除了双方对峙僵持谁也别开发以外,只有谈,只有双方作出妥协。单方面搁置的话双方跟本就谈不了------在这种博弈中就不会有无条件的妥协。只会有谁在问题上占据先机,谁的牌好,谁玩的好。
而对春晓,当初建的时候也是在日方中间线以西,N年后日方以吸油为借口说春晓是它的。这次的原则共识也充分表明了坚持原则的地方坚持原则。中国企业,日本法人,按照中国对外合作开采海洋石油资源的有关法律’,三个词已经把意思说的很明白了。日本人也接受了。如果还觉得不直白那也没办法,外交辞令总不能‘这地儿是我的你丫滚蛋,想入股的话按老子自家的规矩办’这般直白吧?----------------------------------而春晓毫无疑问也是这次谈判的重点,单方面的搁置争议或者无条件的妥协是绝对不会产生这个结果的
Think about it, with the 共同开发东海油气田的双边协议, both sides can not drill outside the 共同开发area, which is only a very small area compare to the whole东 海. What would you do if Japs start to drill righ next to 春晓? According to 中方“大陆架自然延伸”原则, that would be in China's area, according to 日方的立场是, 即所谓“中间线划界”, that area would be in Jap's area. Without 共同开发东海油气田 的双边协议, both sides can start drilling around other side's area. With the 共同 开发东海油气田的双边协议, the drilling will be limited to the much smaller area and this没有涉及主权. Why not?
Unless you are willing to go to war with Japan, drilling in the area is limited. With 共同开发东海油气田的双边协议, at least we can get the oil first.
I don't think China is strong enough to go to war with Japs yet.
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