| 股票一扫阴云，阔步前进，我喝了二两假酒庆祝 |
送交者: FVCK 2011年03月18日14:42:58 乐观情绪高涨 |
|
不对，是真酒，酒店买的Royal Salute，华人酒店名誉太差，我已经不去了。Royal
Salute
对股票正确方向的敬意。前几天我发表了文章，尖锐的指出了日本的核污染是过分夸大的丑剧。很多人在这个丑剧中赚了钱，我也小赚一点。未来的历史将证明我说的是正确的。 原文：FVCK：蒙古牙科医生对辐射的看法
| 蒙古牙科医生对辐射的看法 |
| | 送交者: FVCK 2011年03月14日14:05:35 于 [五 味 斋] 发送悄悄话 |
| 你们对日本辐射的看法完全是毫无意义，即使是在反应堆里面的核泄漏的辐射量，也比不上牙科的拍照剂量。宇宙射线穿过破洞的剂量远大于那点辐射残留。 至于说辐射下的鱼虾，蒙古科学院保证那点辐射对鱼虾没有任何影响，就算有点影响，到了你嘴里早就不存在了。 该干什么还是干什么。 如果你真担心辐射，还是关心臭氧破洞更重要得多。 |
|
道德无底线是因为凤凰男女太多，都想往上爬
东方土鳖不宜谈艺术。艺术的生命力在于和我们的旧思维相冲突
艺术究竟是什么？
“Art is the product or process of deliberately
arranging items (often with symbolic significance) in a way that
influences and affects one or more of the senses, emotions, and
intellect。”
有次在某个博物馆，我看见一句话，原文记不清楚了。大意是：“艺术不是我们看见的世界的重现，而是帮助我们打开眼睛看我们没有看见的世界。”
既然艺术要打开我们的眼睛看我们没有看见的世界，就必须改变我们的旧思维，必然和我们旧思维冲突，所以艺术必然是大多数人不喜欢的。
不要忘记了，中世纪黑暗时代挑战旧思维的很多思想先驱就是艺术家。
坚定的支持艺术，包括我们不喜欢的艺术，是我们进步左派的标志。
====================
道德无底线是因为凤凰男女太多，都想往上爬
转眼5年，开导不了不化野蛮思维 霓虹人和齐哀呐人们是尽管人种、相貌雷同，两国国民性有天壤之别
我代表放牛班俊男美女拥护韩寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂枣之辈
我代表放牛班俊男美女拥护韩寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂枣之辈。
我本人放牛班都没有肄业，水平十分有限， 所以选用一篇洋人的文章，并不一定是我对洋人佩服得五体投地，而是这个洋人说得很在理，所以我就引用。由于翻译水平很低， 就不直译了，而是意思引用。
大学科班是个骗局：
今天我们不能否认大学是骗局和金融泡沫。学生现在贷款首次超过信用卡债务。我们培养了一代的契约奴才，而不是创业者发明家。44%的2009毕业生要么是待业要么干些根本不需要学位的工作。 这些浪费了4年时间，背上10万美元债务比那些不读大学的放牛班落后了5年。
很多人说：大学毕业与否造成收入水平的巨大差异。我问这些人：你在大学究竟学过统计学101没有？你们这个假象观察到处流传，但是却缺乏统计学的第一个要素：
取样的对等。
真正对等取样应该是这样的：选2000人，盲目的分1000去上大学，1000不去读大学，然后对比。这个观察取样不对等是显著的：上大学的学生很可能是更有进取心，记忆力更好，甚至可能家庭平均背景更好的一群，一开始对比就不公平。这样的人上不上大学都会收入更高。
。。。。。。
College is a scam — so let’s make money off it
Outside the BoxCommentary: Debt creates generation of indentured servants
May 27, 2011 James Altucher
NEW
YORK (MarketWatch) — We can’t deny it anymore: College is a scam and a
bubble — and the reasons why appear below. But I’ll be the first to
admit it’s going to take years for that bubble to burst. And while
college tuitions are still skyrocketing and student-loan debt is
creating a generation of indentured servants, we might as well benefit
from it.
Many stocks will continue to go up from the multidecade college bubble, even as it eventually bursts.
The
Washington Post Co. (US:WPO), which owns Stanley Kaplan, gets all of
its earnings from the education side of its business, while Blackboard
is the firepower underneath online course management. Google (US:GOOG)
has all the knowledge in the world at your fingertips and also is trying
to get into the online course management game. And Apple’s (US:AAPL)
increasing MacBook Air sales are due to colleges buying them for their
labs. Then there’d probably be a basket of the cheaper online education
schools like Apollo Group (US:APOL), etc.
Student-loan debt
is now greater than credit-card debt for the first time ever. After the
huge debt crisis we experienced in 2008 and the financial bust in
housing that ruined so many lives, you would think we would be having
more of a national discussion on this — but we just aren’t.
As a
result, for the first time ever, we are graduating a generation of
indentured servants rather than the entrepreneurs, innovators, artists
and inventors that America is known for (I have no self-interest in this
— I’m obviously not shorting colleges, as that’s impossible – I just
hate seeing American go down the drain.)
Forty-four percent of
2009 graduates are either unemployed or hold jobs that don’t require
degrees. So, in other words, these millions of young people are five
years behind their peers, and many are holding over $100,000 in debt.
What a shame.
People tell me, “School teaches kids how to think.”
To that I say, “Learn how to use a library.” And while we’re at it, put
more computers in the library. The knowledge is out there. We don’t
need to owe the banks and the government $800 billion to get knowledge.
People
tell me, “There’s a huge income gap between people with a college
degree and people without a college degree.” To that I say, “Did you
take Statistics 101 in college?” That spurious statistic is making the
rounds but fails the basic test of an accurate statistic. It has
selection bias. It also ignores cause versus correlation. That’s Chapter
1 of the Statistics 101 textbook. A true test would be to take 2,000
people and separate them into two groups of 1,000. Group A is not
allowed to go to college. Group B goes to college. Twenty years later,
let’s see how they are doing
Obviously, this test will never get
done, but the basic idea is common sense. Take people who are equally
intelligent and ambitious and give them a five-year head start, with no
debt. They are going to do very well, I have no doubt.
Some
people say, “College teaches kids how to socially interact and network.”
That’s great. But it doesn’t cost (for example) $300,000 for little
kids to make friends. Join Facebook for free. And start networking on
LinkedIn.
Well, what about teaching kids the classics like Plato.
How does art and beauty persist generation after generation? My answer:
People with passion will read. I didn’t read a book while in college.
But I have read several thousand in the 22 years since. If people want
knowledge, they will seek it out with a hunger like you can’t even
imagine. You can’t force feed passion or knowledge.
What about if
you want to be a doctor? Clearly, you need a degree. Maybe. Are you
saying you want to heal people, or are you saying you want to be an
M.D.? Try working for a few years cleaning people’s bedpans and learn a
little about the medical industry. For anything you want to do in life,
try it first rather than waste money and time learning something you
ultimately never think about again.
Tuitions have gone up 10
times faster than inflation in the past 30 years and three times faster
than health-care costs in the past 30 years. We need to have an active
discussion on this as a society. Meanwhile, the greatest entrepreneurs,
artists and inventors in history either didn’t go to college at all or
dropped out (or were kicked out).
My story: I majored in computer
science at a good school. I went to graduate school in computer
science. I programmed every day for about six years straight. Then I
went to work in the “real world.” In order to program there, they had to
send me to remedial programming classes so I could learn to program as
well as the rest of them at a real job.
For more on why kids shouldn’t go to college, please see my post at JamesAltucher.com.
This
is all fine, you might say, but what are the alternatives? Please see
post on JamesAltucher.com listing eight alternatives to college.
And
yes, some of those alternatives cost a tiny bit of money — but it’s
nowhere near as much as the debt incurred in going to college. And each
one of my alternatives provides real-life experience that will pay
massive dividends for decades to come.
A lot of people have
strong opinions on this topic. I have meetings from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m.
all week, but I promise to be in the comments section as much as
possible answering questions (if they are asked in a respectful manner).
I hope we can engage in discussion on this
===============
=================
===================
| 股票一扫阴云，阔步前进，我喝了二两假酒庆祝 |
送交者: FVCK 2011年03月18日14:42:58 乐观情绪高涨 |
|
不对，是真酒，酒店买的Royal Salute，华人酒店名誉太差，我已经不去了。Royal
Salute
对股票正确方向的敬意。前几天我发表了文章，尖锐的指出了日本的核污染是过分夸大的丑剧。很多人在这个丑剧中赚了钱，我也小赚一点。未来的历史将证明我说的是正确的。 原文：FVCK：蒙古牙科医生对辐射的看法
| 蒙古牙科医生对辐射的看法 |
| | 送交者: FVCK 2011年03月14日14:05:35 于 [五 味 斋] 发送悄悄话 |
| 你们对日本辐射的看法完全是毫无意义，即使是在反应堆里面的核泄漏的辐射量，也比不上牙科的拍照剂量。宇宙射线穿过破洞的剂量远大于那点辐射残留。 至于说辐射下的鱼虾，蒙古科学院保证那点辐射对鱼虾没有任何影响，就算有点影响，到了你嘴里早就不存在了。 该干什么还是干什么。 如果你真担心辐射，还是关心臭氧破洞更重要得多。 |
|
道德无底线是因为凤凰男女太多，都想往上爬
东方土鳖不宜谈艺术。艺术的生命力在于和我们的旧思维相冲突
艺术究竟是什么？
“Art is the product or process of deliberately
arranging items (often with symbolic significance) in a way that
influences and affects one or more of the senses, emotions, and
intellect。”
有次在某个博物馆，我看见一句话，原文记不清楚了。大意是：“艺术不是我们看见的世界的重现，而是帮助我们打开眼睛看我们没有看见的世界。”
既然艺术要打开我们的眼睛看我们没有看见的世界，就必须改变我们的旧思维，必然和我们旧思维冲突，所以艺术必然是大多数人不喜欢的。
不要忘记了，中世纪黑暗时代挑战旧思维的很多思想先驱就是艺术家。
坚定的支持艺术，包括我们不喜欢的艺术，是我们进步左派的标志。
====================
道德无底线是因为凤凰男女太多，都想往上爬
转眼5年，开导不了不化野蛮思维 霓虹人和齐哀呐人们是尽管人种、相貌雷同，两国国民性有天壤之别
我代表放牛班俊男美女拥护韩寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂枣之辈
我代表放牛班俊男美女拥护韩寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂枣之辈。
我本人放牛班都没有肄业，水平十分有限， 所以选用一篇洋人的文章，并不一定是我对洋人佩服得五体投地，而是这个洋人说得很在理，所以我就引用。由于翻译水平很低， 就不直译了，而是意思引用。
大学科班是个骗局：
今天我们不能否认大学是骗局和金融泡沫。学生现在贷款首次超过信用卡债务。我们培养了一代的契约奴才，而不是创业者发明家。44%的2009毕业生要么是待业要么干些根本不需要学位的工作。 这些浪费了4年时间，背上10万美元债务比那些不读大学的放牛班落后了5年。
很多人说：大学毕业与否造成收入水平的巨大差异。我问这些人：你在大学究竟学过统计学101没有？你们这个假象观察到处流传，但是却缺乏统计学的第一个要素：
取样的对等。
真正对等取样应该是这样的：选2000人，盲目的分1000去上大学，1000不去读大学，然后对比。这个观察取样不对等是显著的：上大学的学生很可能是更有进取心，记忆力更好，甚至可能家庭平均背景更好的一群，一开始对比就不公平。这样的人上不上大学都会收入更高。
。。。。。。
College is a scam — so let’s make money off it
Outside the BoxCommentary: Debt creates generation of indentured servants
May 27, 2011 James Altucher
NEW
YORK (MarketWatch) — We can’t deny it anymore: College is a scam and a
bubble — and the reasons why appear below. But I’ll be the first to
admit it’s going to take years for that bubble to burst. And while
college tuitions are still skyrocketing and student-loan debt is
creating a generation of indentured servants, we might as well benefit
from it.
Many stocks will continue to go up from the multidecade college bubble, even as it eventually bursts.
The
Washington Post Co. (US:WPO), which owns Stanley Kaplan, gets all of
its earnings from the education side of its business, while Blackboard
is the firepower underneath online course management. Google (US:GOOG)
has all the knowledge in the world at your fingertips and also is trying
to get into the online course management game. And Apple’s (US:AAPL)
increasing MacBook Air sales are due to colleges buying them for their
labs. Then there’d probably be a basket of the cheaper online education
schools like Apollo Group (US:APOL), etc.
Student-loan debt
is now greater than credit-card debt for the first time ever. After the
huge debt crisis we experienced in 2008 and the financial bust in
housing that ruined so many lives, you would think we would be having
more of a national discussion on this — but we just aren’t.
As a
result, for the first time ever, we are graduating a generation of
indentured servants rather than the entrepreneurs, innovators, artists
and inventors that America is known for (I have no self-interest in this
— I’m obviously not shorting colleges, as that’s impossible – I just
hate seeing American go down the drain.)
Forty-four percent of
2009 graduates are either unemployed or hold jobs that don’t require
degrees. So, in other words, these millions of young people are five
years behind their peers, and many are holding over $100,000 in debt.
What a shame.
People tell me, “School teaches kids how to think.”
To that I say, “Learn how to use a library.” And while we’re at it, put
more computers in the library. The knowledge is out there. We don’t
need to owe the banks and the government $800 billion to get knowledge.
People
tell me, “There’s a huge income gap between people with a college
degree and people without a college degree.” To that I say, “Did you
take Statistics 101 in college?” That spurious statistic is making the
rounds but fails the basic test of an accurate statistic. It has
selection bias. It also ignores cause versus correlation. That’s Chapter
1 of the Statistics 101 textbook. A true test would be to take 2,000
people and separate them into two groups of 1,000. Group A is not
allowed to go to college. Group B goes to college. Twenty years later,
let’s see how they are doing
Obviously, this test will never get
done, but the basic idea is common sense. Take people who are equally
intelligent and ambitious and give them a five-year head start, with no
debt. They are going to do very well, I have no doubt.
Some
people say, “College teaches kids how to socially interact and network.”
That’s great. But it doesn’t cost (for example) $300,000 for little
kids to make friends. Join Facebook for free. And start networking on
LinkedIn.
Well, what about teaching kids the classics like Plato.
How does art and beauty persist generation after generation? My answer:
People with passion will read. I didn’t read a book while in college.
But I have read several thousand in the 22 years since. If people want
knowledge, they will seek it out with a hunger like you can’t even
imagine. You can’t force feed passion or knowledge.
What about if
you want to be a doctor? Clearly, you need a degree. Maybe. Are you
saying you want to heal people, or are you saying you want to be an
M.D.? Try working for a few years cleaning people’s bedpans and learn a
little about the medical industry. For anything you want to do in life,
try it first rather than waste money and time learning something you
ultimately never think about again.
Tuitions have gone up 10
times faster than inflation in the past 30 years and three times faster
than health-care costs in the past 30 years. We need to have an active
discussion on this as a society. Meanwhile, the greatest entrepreneurs,
artists and inventors in history either didn’t go to college at all or
dropped out (or were kicked out).
My story: I majored in computer
science at a good school. I went to graduate school in computer
science. I programmed every day for about six years straight. Then I
went to work in the “real world.” In order to program there, they had to
send me to remedial programming classes so I could learn to program as
well as the rest of them at a real job.
For more on why kids shouldn’t go to college, please see my post at JamesAltucher.com.
This
is all fine, you might say, but what are the alternatives? Please see
post on JamesAltucher.com listing eight alternatives to college.
And
yes, some of those alternatives cost a tiny bit of money — but it’s
nowhere near as much as the debt incurred in going to college. And each
one of my alternatives provides real-life experience that will pay
massive dividends for decades to come.
A lot of people have
strong opinions on this topic. I have meetings from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m.
all week, but I promise to be in the comments section as much as
possible answering questions (if they are asked in a respectful manner).
I hope we can engage in discussion on this
===============
=================
===================
