| 股票一掃陰雲，闊步前進，我喝了二兩假酒慶祝 |
送交者: FVCK 2011年03月18日14:42:58 樂觀情緒高漲 |
|
不對，是真酒，酒店買的Royal Salute，華人酒店名譽太差，我已經不去了。Royal
Salute
對股票正確方向的敬意。前幾天我發表了文章，尖銳的指出了日本的核污染是過分誇大的醜劇。很多人在這個醜劇中賺了錢，我也小賺一點。未來的歷史將證明我說的是正確的。 原文：FVCK：蒙古牙科醫生對輻射的看法
| 蒙古牙科醫生對輻射的看法 |
| | 送交者: FVCK 2011年03月14日14:05:35 於 [五 味 齋] 發送悄悄話 |
| 你們對日本輻射的看法完全是毫無意義，即使是在反應堆裡面的核泄漏的輻射量，也比不上牙科的拍照劑量。宇宙射線穿過破洞的劑量遠大於那點輻射殘留。 至於說輻射下的魚蝦，蒙古科學院保證那點輻射對魚蝦沒有任何影響，就算有點影響，到了你嘴裡早就不存在了。 該幹什麼還是幹什麼。 如果你真擔心輻射，還是關心臭氧破洞更重要得多。 |
|
道德無底線是因為鳳凰男女太多，都想往上爬
東方土鱉不宜談藝術。藝術的生命力在於和我們的舊思維相衝突
藝術究竟是什麼？
“Art is the product or process of deliberately
arranging items (often with symbolic significance) in a way that
influences and affects one or more of the senses, emotions, and
intellect。”
有次在某個博物館，我看見一句話，原文記不清楚了。大意是：“藝術不是我們看見的世界的重現，而是幫助我們打開眼睛看我們沒有看見的世界。”
既然藝術要打開我們的眼睛看我們沒有看見的世界，就必須改變我們的舊思維，必然和我們舊思維衝突，所以藝術必然是大多數人不喜歡的。
不要忘記了，中世紀黑暗時代挑戰舊思維的很多思想先驅就是藝術家。
堅定的支持藝術，包括我們不喜歡的藝術，是我們進步左派的標誌。
====================
道德無底線是因為鳳凰男女太多，都想往上爬
轉眼5年，開導不了不化野蠻思維 霓虹人和齊哀吶人們是儘管人種、相貌雷同，兩國國民性有天壤之別
我代表放牛班俊男美女擁護韓寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂棗之輩
我代表放牛班俊男美女擁護韓寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂棗之輩。
我本人放牛班都沒有肄業，水平十分有限， 所以選用一篇洋人的文章，並不一定是我對洋人佩服得五體投地，而是這個洋人說得很在理，所以我就引用。由於翻譯水平很低， 就不直譯了，而是意思引用。
大學科班是個騙局：
今天我們不能否認大學是騙局和金融泡沫。學生現在貸款首次超過信用卡債務。我們培養了一代的契約奴才，而不是創業者發明家。44%的2009畢業生要麼是待業要麼幹些根本不需要學位的工作。 這些浪費了4年時間，背上10萬美元債務比那些不讀大學的放牛班落後了5年。
很多人說：大學畢業與否造成收入水平的巨大差異。我問這些人：你在大學究竟學過統計學101沒有？你們這個假象觀察到處流傳，但是卻缺乏統計學的第一個要素：
取樣的對等。
真正對等取樣應該是這樣的：選2000人，盲目的分1000去上大學，1000不去讀大學，然後對比。這個觀察取樣不對等是顯著的：上大學的學生很可能是更有進取心，記憶力更好，甚至可能家庭平均背景更好的一群，一開始對比就不公平。這樣的人上不上大學都會收入更高。
。。。。。。
College is a scam — so let’s make money off it
Outside the BoxCommentary: Debt creates generation of indentured servants
May 27, 2011 James Altucher
NEW
YORK (MarketWatch) — We can’t deny it anymore: College is a scam and a
bubble — and the reasons why appear below. But I’ll be the first to
admit it’s going to take years for that bubble to burst. And while
college tuitions are still skyrocketing and student-loan debt is
creating a generation of indentured servants, we might as well benefit
from it.
Many stocks will continue to go up from the multidecade college bubble, even as it eventually bursts.
The
Washington Post Co. (US:WPO), which owns Stanley Kaplan, gets all of
its earnings from the education side of its business, while Blackboard
is the firepower underneath online course management. Google (US:GOOG)
has all the knowledge in the world at your fingertips and also is trying
to get into the online course management game. And Apple’s (US:AAPL)
increasing MacBook Air sales are due to colleges buying them for their
labs. Then there’d probably be a basket of the cheaper online education
schools like Apollo Group (US:APOL), etc.
Student-loan debt
is now greater than credit-card debt for the first time ever. After the
huge debt crisis we experienced in 2008 and the financial bust in
housing that ruined so many lives, you would think we would be having
more of a national discussion on this — but we just aren’t.
As a
result, for the first time ever, we are graduating a generation of
indentured servants rather than the entrepreneurs, innovators, artists
and inventors that America is known for (I have no self-interest in this
— I’m obviously not shorting colleges, as that’s impossible – I just
hate seeing American go down the drain.)
Forty-four percent of
2009 graduates are either unemployed or hold jobs that don’t require
degrees. So, in other words, these millions of young people are five
years behind their peers, and many are holding over $100,000 in debt.
What a shame.
People tell me, “School teaches kids how to think.”
To that I say, “Learn how to use a library.” And while we’re at it, put
more computers in the library. The knowledge is out there. We don’t
need to owe the banks and the government $800 billion to get knowledge.
People
tell me, “There’s a huge income gap between people with a college
degree and people without a college degree.” To that I say, “Did you
take Statistics 101 in college?” That spurious statistic is making the
rounds but fails the basic test of an accurate statistic. It has
selection bias. It also ignores cause versus correlation. That’s Chapter
1 of the Statistics 101 textbook. A true test would be to take 2,000
people and separate them into two groups of 1,000. Group A is not
allowed to go to college. Group B goes to college. Twenty years later,
let’s see how they are doing
Obviously, this test will never get
done, but the basic idea is common sense. Take people who are equally
intelligent and ambitious and give them a five-year head start, with no
debt. They are going to do very well, I have no doubt.
Some
people say, “College teaches kids how to socially interact and network.”
That’s great. But it doesn’t cost (for example) $300,000 for little
kids to make friends. Join Facebook for free. And start networking on
LinkedIn.
Well, what about teaching kids the classics like Plato.
How does art and beauty persist generation after generation? My answer:
People with passion will read. I didn’t read a book while in college.
But I have read several thousand in the 22 years since. If people want
knowledge, they will seek it out with a hunger like you can’t even
imagine. You can’t force feed passion or knowledge.
What about if
you want to be a doctor? Clearly, you need a degree. Maybe. Are you
saying you want to heal people, or are you saying you want to be an
M.D.? Try working for a few years cleaning people’s bedpans and learn a
little about the medical industry. For anything you want to do in life,
try it first rather than waste money and time learning something you
ultimately never think about again.
Tuitions have gone up 10
times faster than inflation in the past 30 years and three times faster
than health-care costs in the past 30 years. We need to have an active
discussion on this as a society. Meanwhile, the greatest entrepreneurs,
artists and inventors in history either didn’t go to college at all or
dropped out (or were kicked out).
My story: I majored in computer
science at a good school. I went to graduate school in computer
science. I programmed every day for about six years straight. Then I
went to work in the “real world.” In order to program there, they had to
send me to remedial programming classes so I could learn to program as
well as the rest of them at a real job.
For more on why kids shouldn’t go to college, please see my post at JamesAltucher.com.
This
is all fine, you might say, but what are the alternatives? Please see
post on JamesAltucher.com listing eight alternatives to college.
And
yes, some of those alternatives cost a tiny bit of money — but it’s
nowhere near as much as the debt incurred in going to college. And each
one of my alternatives provides real-life experience that will pay
massive dividends for decades to come.
A lot of people have
strong opinions on this topic. I have meetings from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m.
all week, but I promise to be in the comments section as much as
possible answering questions (if they are asked in a respectful manner).
I hope we can engage in discussion on this
===============
=================
===================
| 股票一掃陰雲，闊步前進，我喝了二兩假酒慶祝 |
送交者: FVCK 2011年03月18日14:42:58 樂觀情緒高漲 |
|
不對，是真酒，酒店買的Royal Salute，華人酒店名譽太差，我已經不去了。Royal
Salute
對股票正確方向的敬意。前幾天我發表了文章，尖銳的指出了日本的核污染是過分誇大的醜劇。很多人在這個醜劇中賺了錢，我也小賺一點。未來的歷史將證明我說的是正確的。 原文：FVCK：蒙古牙科醫生對輻射的看法
| 蒙古牙科醫生對輻射的看法 |
| | 送交者: FVCK 2011年03月14日14:05:35 於 [五 味 齋] 發送悄悄話 |
| 你們對日本輻射的看法完全是毫無意義，即使是在反應堆裡面的核泄漏的輻射量，也比不上牙科的拍照劑量。宇宙射線穿過破洞的劑量遠大於那點輻射殘留。 至於說輻射下的魚蝦，蒙古科學院保證那點輻射對魚蝦沒有任何影響，就算有點影響，到了你嘴裡早就不存在了。 該幹什麼還是幹什麼。 如果你真擔心輻射，還是關心臭氧破洞更重要得多。 |
|
道德無底線是因為鳳凰男女太多，都想往上爬
東方土鱉不宜談藝術。藝術的生命力在於和我們的舊思維相衝突
藝術究竟是什麼？
“Art is the product or process of deliberately
arranging items (often with symbolic significance) in a way that
influences and affects one or more of the senses, emotions, and
intellect。”
有次在某個博物館，我看見一句話，原文記不清楚了。大意是：“藝術不是我們看見的世界的重現，而是幫助我們打開眼睛看我們沒有看見的世界。”
既然藝術要打開我們的眼睛看我們沒有看見的世界，就必須改變我們的舊思維，必然和我們舊思維衝突，所以藝術必然是大多數人不喜歡的。
不要忘記了，中世紀黑暗時代挑戰舊思維的很多思想先驅就是藝術家。
堅定的支持藝術，包括我們不喜歡的藝術，是我們進步左派的標誌。
====================
道德無底線是因為鳳凰男女太多，都想往上爬
轉眼5年，開導不了不化野蠻思維 霓虹人和齊哀吶人們是儘管人種、相貌雷同，兩國國民性有天壤之別
我代表放牛班俊男美女擁護韓寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂棗之輩
我代表放牛班俊男美女擁護韓寒范冰冰之流兼痛斥科班歪瓜裂棗之輩。
我本人放牛班都沒有肄業，水平十分有限， 所以選用一篇洋人的文章，並不一定是我對洋人佩服得五體投地，而是這個洋人說得很在理，所以我就引用。由於翻譯水平很低， 就不直譯了，而是意思引用。
大學科班是個騙局：
今天我們不能否認大學是騙局和金融泡沫。學生現在貸款首次超過信用卡債務。我們培養了一代的契約奴才，而不是創業者發明家。44%的2009畢業生要麼是待業要麼幹些根本不需要學位的工作。 這些浪費了4年時間，背上10萬美元債務比那些不讀大學的放牛班落後了5年。
很多人說：大學畢業與否造成收入水平的巨大差異。我問這些人：你在大學究竟學過統計學101沒有？你們這個假象觀察到處流傳，但是卻缺乏統計學的第一個要素：
取樣的對等。
真正對等取樣應該是這樣的：選2000人，盲目的分1000去上大學，1000不去讀大學，然後對比。這個觀察取樣不對等是顯著的：上大學的學生很可能是更有進取心，記憶力更好，甚至可能家庭平均背景更好的一群，一開始對比就不公平。這樣的人上不上大學都會收入更高。
。。。。。。
College is a scam — so let’s make money off it
Outside the BoxCommentary: Debt creates generation of indentured servants
May 27, 2011 James Altucher
NEW
YORK (MarketWatch) — We can’t deny it anymore: College is a scam and a
bubble — and the reasons why appear below. But I’ll be the first to
admit it’s going to take years for that bubble to burst. And while
college tuitions are still skyrocketing and student-loan debt is
creating a generation of indentured servants, we might as well benefit
from it.
Many stocks will continue to go up from the multidecade college bubble, even as it eventually bursts.
The
Washington Post Co. (US:WPO), which owns Stanley Kaplan, gets all of
its earnings from the education side of its business, while Blackboard
is the firepower underneath online course management. Google (US:GOOG)
has all the knowledge in the world at your fingertips and also is trying
to get into the online course management game. And Apple’s (US:AAPL)
increasing MacBook Air sales are due to colleges buying them for their
labs. Then there’d probably be a basket of the cheaper online education
schools like Apollo Group (US:APOL), etc.
Student-loan debt
is now greater than credit-card debt for the first time ever. After the
huge debt crisis we experienced in 2008 and the financial bust in
housing that ruined so many lives, you would think we would be having
more of a national discussion on this — but we just aren’t.
As a
result, for the first time ever, we are graduating a generation of
indentured servants rather than the entrepreneurs, innovators, artists
and inventors that America is known for (I have no self-interest in this
— I’m obviously not shorting colleges, as that’s impossible – I just
hate seeing American go down the drain.)
Forty-four percent of
2009 graduates are either unemployed or hold jobs that don’t require
degrees. So, in other words, these millions of young people are five
years behind their peers, and many are holding over $100,000 in debt.
What a shame.
People tell me, “School teaches kids how to think.”
To that I say, “Learn how to use a library.” And while we’re at it, put
more computers in the library. The knowledge is out there. We don’t
need to owe the banks and the government $800 billion to get knowledge.
People
tell me, “There’s a huge income gap between people with a college
degree and people without a college degree.” To that I say, “Did you
take Statistics 101 in college?” That spurious statistic is making the
rounds but fails the basic test of an accurate statistic. It has
selection bias. It also ignores cause versus correlation. That’s Chapter
1 of the Statistics 101 textbook. A true test would be to take 2,000
people and separate them into two groups of 1,000. Group A is not
allowed to go to college. Group B goes to college. Twenty years later,
let’s see how they are doing
Obviously, this test will never get
done, but the basic idea is common sense. Take people who are equally
intelligent and ambitious and give them a five-year head start, with no
debt. They are going to do very well, I have no doubt.
Some
people say, “College teaches kids how to socially interact and network.”
That’s great. But it doesn’t cost (for example) $300,000 for little
kids to make friends. Join Facebook for free. And start networking on
LinkedIn.
Well, what about teaching kids the classics like Plato.
How does art and beauty persist generation after generation? My answer:
People with passion will read. I didn’t read a book while in college.
But I have read several thousand in the 22 years since. If people want
knowledge, they will seek it out with a hunger like you can’t even
imagine. You can’t force feed passion or knowledge.
What about if
you want to be a doctor? Clearly, you need a degree. Maybe. Are you
saying you want to heal people, or are you saying you want to be an
M.D.? Try working for a few years cleaning people’s bedpans and learn a
little about the medical industry. For anything you want to do in life,
try it first rather than waste money and time learning something you
ultimately never think about again.
Tuitions have gone up 10
times faster than inflation in the past 30 years and three times faster
than health-care costs in the past 30 years. We need to have an active
discussion on this as a society. Meanwhile, the greatest entrepreneurs,
artists and inventors in history either didn’t go to college at all or
dropped out (or were kicked out).
My story: I majored in computer
science at a good school. I went to graduate school in computer
science. I programmed every day for about six years straight. Then I
went to work in the “real world.” In order to program there, they had to
send me to remedial programming classes so I could learn to program as
well as the rest of them at a real job.
For more on why kids shouldn’t go to college, please see my post at JamesAltucher.com.
This
is all fine, you might say, but what are the alternatives? Please see
post on JamesAltucher.com listing eight alternatives to college.
And
yes, some of those alternatives cost a tiny bit of money — but it’s
nowhere near as much as the debt incurred in going to college. And each
one of my alternatives provides real-life experience that will pay
massive dividends for decades to come.
A lot of people have
strong opinions on this topic. I have meetings from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m.
all week, but I promise to be in the comments section as much as
possible answering questions (if they are asked in a respectful manner).
I hope we can engage in discussion on this
===============
=================
===================
